Oklahoma Weather Blog

Hazardous weather outlook, National Weather Service, Norman

Bryan Painter — Tue, 18 Jun 2013 15:43:05 +0000

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK…UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
957 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013

HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
957 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE…THROUGH TONIGHT…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MAINLY WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS TONIGHT…MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEVERE WEATHER
IS UNLIKELY THROUGH TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION…
NO STORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 7 PM THIS EVENING DUE TO
STRONG CAPPING.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY MOVE INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT PARTS OF
NORTH TEXAS TONIGHT AS THEY MOVE OFF THE HIGH PLAINS OF COLORADO
AND NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO. WITH ONLY MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND SHEAR
AVAILABLE…ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS UNLIKELY OVER OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. HOWEVER…A FEW STORMS TONIGHT MAY CONTAIN
HEAVY RAIN…GUSTY WINDS…AND SMALL HAIL.

PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT WEDNESDAY JUN 19.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…30 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR…10 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
AS A WEAK WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVES OVER THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY…SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER THE REGION. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE…WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
WITH RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL…MAINLY OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA…ADDITIONAL RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO FLOODING OF
LOW-LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

Hazardous weather outlook, National Weather Service, Norman

Bryan Painter — Tue, 18 Jun 2013 12:47:37 +0000

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
500 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
SCATTERED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA EARLY TODAY…THEN OVER FAR WESTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO
SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

DISCUSSION…
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS EXTREME
SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING…BUT MOST
OF THE STORMS WILL STAY WELL SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER.
ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY MOVE INTO FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND
ADJACENT PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT AS THEY
MOVE OFF THE HIGH PLAINS OF COLORADO AND NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO.
WITH ONLY MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND SHEAR AVAILABLE…ORGANIZED
SEVERE WEATHER IS UNLIKELY OVER THE BODY OF OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY…

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
WITH RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL…MAINLY OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA…ADDITIONAL RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO FLOODING OF
LOW-LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

Hazardous weather outlook, National Weather Service, Norman

Bryan Painter — Mon, 17 Jun 2013 17:05:10 +0000

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1200 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE…THROUGH TONIGHT…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT…PRIMARILY ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM
LAVERNE TO SAYRE TO SEYMOUR TEXAS.

TIMING…
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE FROM 10PM THROUGH 6AM.

IMPACTS…
THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING…
WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS…
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL SHOULD PLAN
FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS.

DISCUSSION…
A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER…STRONG
CAPPING WILL LIMIT CONVECTION…AND ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL
REMAIN SUB SEVERE.

LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT…AS THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE SHIFTS
EASTWARD TODAY…THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS OF
SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO…SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS…AND THE PANHANDLES. THESE
STORMS WILL MERGE INTO A COMPLEX AS THEY APPROACH WESTERN OKLAHOMA THIS
EVENING. AS THESE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE INTO FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA…DAMAGING
WINDS…IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND DAMAGING HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY
CONCERNS. STORMS WILL MOVE SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY…
FOCUSING ALONG A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY ORIENTED NEAR AND ALONG THE RED
RIVER VALLEY.

PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT TUESDAY JUN 18.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…60 PERCENT
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR…40 PERCENT

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL CONTINUE TO RESIDE WITHIN A FAIRLY ACTIVE
WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MULTIPLE WEAK UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES CROSSING THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A FEW
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE…WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
AND HAIL THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING A VARIOUS
TIMES THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY…ESPECIALLY IN LOW-LYING AND
URBANIZED AREAS.

Hazardous weather outlook, National Weather Service, Norman

Bryan Painter — Mon, 17 Jun 2013 15:31:56 +0000

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK…UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1020 AM CDT MON JUN 17 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT…PRIMARILY ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM
LAVERNE TO SAYRE TO SEYMOUR TEXAS.

TIMING…
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE FROM 10PM THROUGH 6AM.

IMPACTS…
THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING…
WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS…
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL SHOULD PLAN
FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS.

DISCUSSION…
A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER…STRONG
CAPPING WILL LIMIT CONVECTION…AND ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL
REMAIN SUB SEVERE.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY…

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING A VARIOUS
TIMES THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY…ESPECIALLY IN LOW-LYING AND
URBANIZED AREAS.

Report on storm damage, Mike Honigsberg, Emergency Management Director for Garfield County

Bryan Painter — Mon, 17 Jun 2013 15:30:26 +0000

Mike Honigsberg, Emergency Management Director in Garfield County, regarding storm damage reported to him in Garfield County: “Highway 74 and Hayward-3/4 west, Lost heavy machine barns. Combines toppled and roof blown away. Pictures will be forth coming. Fairmont reported 3.5 inches of rain from the storms Sunday evening and the overnight storms. Covington reports 2.8 inches of rain. These reports come from trained spotters within our organization. Will advise more as reports come in.”

Last 365 days, rainfall in Oklahoma by region, according to the Oklahoma Climatological Survey

Bryan Painter — Mon, 17 Jun 2013 14:55:45 +0000

Last 365 Days: Jun 17, 2012 through Jun 16, 2013

Climate Division	Total Rainfall	Departure from Normal	Pct of Normal	Rank since 1921 (88 periods)	Driest on Record	Wettest on Record
Panhandle	11.64″	-9.46″	55%	4th driest	9.81″ (1955-56)	31.29″ (1998-99)
N. Central	20.06″	-11.59″	63%	6th driest	16.28″ (1952-53)	47.36″ (1998-99)
Northeast	32.14″	-9.83″	77%	18th driest	25.59″ (1955-56)	62.27″ (2007-08)
W. Central	17.61″	-11.48″	61%	4th driest	13.29″ (1952-53)	44.17″ (1986-87)
Central	32.84″	-5.15″	86%	37th driest	22.63″ (1924-25)	53.32″ (2007-08)
E. Central	37.47″	-8.62″	81%	22nd driest	29.26″ (1924-25)	63.26″ (1992-93)
Southwest	19.47″	-11.33″	63%	4th driest	16.08″ (1970-71)	46.23″ (1986-87)
S. Central	30.31″	-10.65″	74%	12th driest	19.64″ (1924-25)	53.27″ (1981-82)
Southeast	42.20″	-8.74″	83%	20th driest	33.19″ (2005-06)	66.26″ (1926-27)
Statewide	27.22″	-9.47″	74%	12th driest	23.18″ (1955-56)	46.51″ (1992-93)

10-day rainfall recorded at Oklahoma Mesonet weather stations; map

Bryan Painter — Mon, 17 Jun 2013 13:54:36 +0000

Rainfall since midnight recorded at Oklahoma Mesonet weather stations; map

Bryan Painter — Mon, 17 Jun 2013 13:52:29 +0000

Hazardous weather outlook, National Weather Service, Norman

Bryan Painter — Mon, 17 Jun 2013 12:40:04 +0000

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
531 AM CDT MON JUN 17 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THERE CONTINUES TO BE A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING
ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING…THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS…PRIMARILY ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM
ALVA TO ELK CITY TO VINSON OKLAHOMA.

TIMING…
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE LATE THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.

IMPACTS…
THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING…
WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS…
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL SHOULD PLAN
FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS.

DISCUSSION…
FOR THIS MORNING…A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THROUGH
SUNRISE. AS THIS LINE OF STORMS MOVES THROUGH SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS…WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 65 MPH REMAIN POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE STRONGEST PORTIONS OF THIS LINE.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL DECREASE SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE LATE MORNING
AND EARLY AFTERNOON…WITH LINGERING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDER STILL
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT…AS THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE SHIFTS
EASTWARD TODAY…THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS OF
SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO…SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS…AND THE PANHANDLES. AS
THESE STORMS MOVE EAST…THEY WILL MERGE INTO A COMPLEX AS THEY APPROACH
WESTERN OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING. AS THESE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE INTO FAR
WESTERN OKLAHOMA…DAMAGING WINDS…IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND DAMAGING HAIL
WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERNS. STORMS WILL MOVE SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH
EARLY TUESDAY…FOCUSING ALONG A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY ORIENTED NEAR
AND ALONG THE RED RIVER VALLEY.

PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT TUESDAY JUN 18.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…100 PERCENT
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR…80 PERCENT

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN SOME FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS
ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY…

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING A VARIOUS
TIMES THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY…ESPECIALLY IN LOW-LYING AND
URBANIZED AREAS.

For Weather Information

Bryan Painter — Fri, 07 Jun 2013 17:16:40 +0000

While Bryan Painter is on vacation please go to http://newsok.com/weather for weather forecast information.