Hazardous weather outlook, National Weather Service, Norman
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1153 AM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1153 AM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE…THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT…
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP…BUT SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE UNLIKELY.
DISCUSSION…
THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE TODAY WHICH WILL
SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT.
HOWEVER…UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL BE UNFAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO SEE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS…NEAR SEVERAL WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARIES. A FEW STRONG
STORMS MAY DEVELOP GIVEN THE MAGNITUDE OF INSTABILITY. THESE STORMS
WILL POSE A THREAT OF SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH.
OTHERWISE…MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY MOST STORMS.
PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SATURDAY MAY 25.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR…40 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY…
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
RELATIVELY LOW THUNDERSTORM CHANCES PERSIST EACH DAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE…BUT LACK OF STRONG UPPER LEVEL
WINDS WILL MAKE ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER UNLIKELY.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE.
On this 2nd anniv. of the EF5 tornado of May 24, 2011, here’s a look back at a story from last year of two friends who survived an F5 (5/3/1999) and EF5
WEATHER
FAMILY ADDS SHELTER AFTER SEEING DEVASTATION AT PAL’S HOME
By Bryan Painter
| Sunday, May 20, 2012 Edition: DRIVE, Section: NEWS METRO/STATE, Page 21A |
Dixie Szymanski and Becky Brown started out as two chatty outfielders in a softball league in Newcastle, visiting when they should have been watching the ball.
They became best friends, and Dixie served as one of Becky’s bridesmaids in May 1998.
It was a day almost a year later that strengthened the bond between the two.
Dixie, who lived in Oklahoma City near Moore, survived the F5 tornado May 3, 1999, but was so seriously injured that she had to undergo 13 surgeries.
What she went through may have saved the lives of Becky’s family May 24 last year when an F5 leveled their story-and-a-half brick home in southeastern Kingfisher County.
Becky, 39, and her husband, Chad Brown, 39, said that Dixie’s experience is why they had a storm shelter, the one 12 people were packed into when the twister hit.
“Without Dixie in my life, we might not be here,” Becky said.
“I watched, I heard and I know what she went through. I know how much she struggled. Dixie was my blessing.”
Becky told Dixie exactly that, the morning after last year’s tornado reduced the Browns‘ house to a heap of rubble.
“She said the reason they survived is because they had a tornado shelter and that was because she had seen what I went through,” Dixie said. “She went through it with me. I feel like she’s gone through two of them now.”
May 3, 1999
After Dixie and John Szymanski married in March 1998, they lived in an apartment while their house was being built in the Country Place addition near SW 138 and Pennsylvania Avenue. Around their first wedding anniversary, the couple moved in.
John was off work on May 3, 1999, and spent the day working in the yard. Dixie headed home after work.
They fixed dinner and then started watching weather on television.
When the twister got to Newcastle, they realized it was approaching.
“We got in the closet and had the TV as loud as we could, and then all of a sudden the TV went off,” Dixie said. “We had pillows around us and my husband was kind of doing a bear hug on top of me. We felt air at our feet and then I don’t remember anything after that.”
Minutes passed before John could find her.
On the other side of the metro, Becky had been on the phone, calling her family around Newcastle. They were fine. And then about 11 p.m., Becky’s sister Jennifer Sanders who lived not too far from Dixie called.
“We had to go through Dixie’s neighborhood to get home,” she told Becky. “Dixie’s neighborhood is demolished, Becky.”
“My neck was broke; my jaw was broke; my nose was broken in like six places,” Dixie said in describing her injuries. “The left side of my face was pretty much crushed, my cheek, my nose, my eye. So it was about a six-month recovery process initially.
“Last October, I hopefully had my last surgery.”
John, who was thrown to the street curb, suffered a broken left ankle and injured right knee. Dixie was tossed into a front yard about three houses down.
Becky was at the hospital by 6 a.m. the day after.
Dixie has three sisters. Of the four, three of them lost their homes in the May 3 tornado. While Dixie’s family stayed at the hospital, Becky went to the home of Dixie’s mother. She took phone calls, donations, answered questions for hours, and then would go sit with Dixie in the ICU.
“And then through the six months, we’d talk on the phone for hours,” Dixie said. “I just cannot explain how much I love her and what she did for me, and her husband too, he helped. They went out and dug through the rubble.”
May 24, 2011
About 8:30 a.m. May 24, Chad made a phone call.
“I just had a weird feeling so I called my insurance company,” he said. “I said, ‘Hey my policies are all good aren’t they?’”
They were. The Browns had a fire in their home about a year earlier, so he was playing it safe.
But that wasn’t the only step they took.
About 4 p.m., Becky went through the house with an iPhone taking pictures of everything. Chad did the same, taking photos of everything outside, including their vehicles.
By about 4:20 p.m., everyone was in the storm shelter except Chad, who stayed in the house watching the weather until the TV went out.
He then went to the shelter, but after a few minutes he got hot in there and decided to go see whether the TV had come back on.
About four steps out of the shelter, Chad received a text from Shane Wagoner, a neighbor who was in McAlester on business, but watching TV.
The text said “It’s right on top of you.” Chad retreated.
“I shut the door, set the pins and maybe a minute later, bam, it hits,” he said.
The next morning, Chad and Becky saw Dixie walking up the drive, her face soaked in tears.
“She didn’t remember what happened to her, but I think she felt so bad for what happened to us,” Becky said.
Dixie purchased clothes for the Browns, knowing what they’d need.
“I feel terrible because I did nothing compared to what she did for me,” Dixie said. “She’s just a miracle.”
Dixie said she never thought about the suffering she went through. She was too busy being thankful that John didn’t die and that her sisters didn’t die.
“As a matter of fact it made me closer to God,” Dixie said. “When you almost die, I think that’s when you realize how short life is. I’m very lucky. We shouldn’t be here.
“Just to be here now and have a beautiful family, I’m happy.”
Dixie, 40, and John, 41, have two daughters Mya, 10, and Kai, 7. Becky and Chad have a son Kendon, 12, and daughter Kelsee, 10.
When Becky and Dixie talked on the phone for hours in 1999, it was often about God and faith. That is still strong for both families.
One of Chad’s Bibles, a King James version, was recovered from the rubble. The Browns placed it in the foundation of their new home, just inside the front door.
“People say ‘You lost everything,’ ” Becky said. “No we haven’t lost anything. We didn’t lose somebody.”
And for that, the two chatty outfielders — Dixie and Becky — are eternally thankful.
Hazardous weather outlook, National Weather Service, Norman
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
FRI MAY 24 2013
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
FRI MAY 24 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT…
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP… BUT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE UNLIKELY.
DISCUSSION…
THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE TODAY WHICH WILL
SUPPORT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. HOWEVER…
INSTABILITY WILL BE LIMITED ENOUGH THAT SEVERE WEATHER IS UNLIKELY.
PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SATURDAY MAY 25.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…60 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR…20 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY…
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
RELATIVELY LOW THUNDERSTORM CHANCES PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY.
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE… BUT NO SIGNIFICANT
ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE.
Hazardous weather outlook, National Weather Service, Norman
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK…UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
733 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
733 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE…THROUGH TONIGHT…
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA… AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. A FEW OF THESE
STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE.
DISCUSSION…
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
THIS EVENING BEFORE MOVING SOUTH INTO WEST TEXAS.
WITH VARIOUS BOUNDARIES EXPECTED OVER THE AREA… ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS
COULD DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AS THE LOW LEVEL JET
STRENGTHENS. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE
WITH HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH.
PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT FRIDAY MAY 24.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR…20 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
DUE TO ALREADY SATURATED GROUNDS FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL THURSDAY IN CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA… ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OVER THESE AREAS LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING MAY RESULT IN FLOODING ONCE AGAIN.
MINOR RIVER FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG THE CLEAR BOGGY CREEK NEAR CANEY
IN ATOKA COUNTY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY…
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
LINGERING THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. SOME OF
THESE MAY BE STRONG…BUT THE OVERALL SEVERE THREAT IS LIMITED.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A FEW STRONG TO PERHAPS SEVERE STORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME FRAME…ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE.
Area forecast discussion, National Weather Service, Norman (6:40 p.m. Thursday)
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
640 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013
.UPDATE…
SPRUCED UP POPS THIS EVENING AND ADJUSTED TEMPERATURE TREND.
&&
.DISCUSSION…
DEALING WITH TWO AREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING…THE FIRST
OF WHICH…IS THE REMNANTS FROM THIS MORNINGS CONVECTION THAT
MOVED THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING. AT THE MOMENT…THIS LINE
REMAINS POSITIONED ACROSS NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA…AND SHOULD
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SHIFT EASTWARD THIS EVENING AS THE SURFACE
RIDGE OVER THE UPPER MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY SLOWLY MOVES EASTWARD.
THE SECOND AREA OF CONVECTION DEVELOPED EARLIER THIS EVENING
ACROSS WRN N TX…JUST EAST OF THE CAPROCK…ALONG A WEAK SURFACE
TROUGH/UPPER LEVEL WAVE. SFC ANALYSIS…AND RADAR ANALYSIS SHOWS
A WEAK BOUNDARY WHICH CONTINUES TO SHIFT WWD ACROSS THE
PANHANDLE. ACTIVITY REMAINS RELATIVELY CONFINED TO THE SFC TROUGH
FROM JUST SW OF KNOX COUNTY TX THROUGH BORDEN COUNTY TX.
OVERALL…THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK S/SE.
WITH 40 DEGREE SFC DEW POINTS…WIND REPORTS OUT OF THIS LINE HAS
BEEN IMPRESSIVE…WITH UPWARDS OF 100 MPH REPORTED WITH THE CELL
CURRENTLY OVER FISHER COUNTY TX.
EXPECT CURRENT ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE WEST TEXAS PLAINS
AND PANHANDLE THROUGH THE EVENING. HOWEVER…WITH ISOLATED
UPDRAFTS PERSISTING ACROSS THE NRN TX PANHANDLE…WE WILL LIKELY
SEE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE ACROSS WRN OK LATER
THIS EVENING AS THE UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO SHIFT EWD…FORCING
THE SFC BOUNDARY EWD. MESOSCALE MODELS SUPPORT THIS SOLUTION…BUT
APPEAR A BIT TO BULLISH WITH REGARDS TO TIMING.
NONETHELESS…INCREASED POPS SLOWLY AFTER 00Z THROUGH 06Z FOR WRN
OK. WITH MODEST WIND FIELDS AND DEW POINTS…A FEW OF THESE STORMS
COULD BE SEVERE…WITH DAMAGING HAIL AND WIND GUSTS.
Area Forecast Discussion, National Weather Service, Norman
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
329 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013
.DISCUSSION…
AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN IS FORECAST THROUGH THE COMING WEEK. A
LARGE CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED STORMS LIFTED NORTH AND EAST
OF THE OKLAHOMA CITY METRO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON…WITHIN STRONG
WARM ADVECTION REGIME…THIS ACTIVITY HAS LARGELY PERSISTED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. WITH PERSISTENT MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAIN…AND TRAINING STORMS…FLASH FLOODING HAS BECOME A
THREAT IN THIS AREA…AND AN URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS AREA. PERSONS ARE ADVISED TO TAKE CAUTION
WHILE DRIVING…AND NOT DRIVE INTO WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH OVER
AREA ROADWAYS.
IN ADDITION TO THE THREAT OF LOCALIZED FLOODING…A SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT WILL PERSIST INTO THE EVENING HOURS OVER FAR
SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. ISOLATED SUPERCELLS
HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE REGION…AND ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED INTO THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.
LARGE HAIL TO BASEBALL SIZE AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN
THREATS…THOUGH A TORNADO OR TWO MAY OCCUR DURING THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 10 PM FOR FAR
SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING…EXPECT AT LEAST ISOLATED SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO MOVE FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTH
TEXAS…INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. THE OVERALL THREAT OF SEVERE
WEATHER WILL DIMINISH BY MIDNIGHT…BUT AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM
CANNOT BE RULED OUT…EVEN AS FAR EAST AS THE OKLAHOMA CITY METRO.
ADDITIONAL ELEVATED STORMS MAY DEVELOP IN THE 4 TO 6 AM TIME FRAME
ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. MODERATE ELEVATED INSTABILITY
AND FAVORABLE WIND SHEAR MAY ALLOW FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS. LARGE
HAIL TO GOLF BALL SIZE AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN
THREATS…IN ADDITION TO LOCALIZED FLOODING.
DESPITE MID LEVEL RIDGING…A SEEMINGLY ENDLESS SERIES OF WEAK
UPPER DISTURBANCES AND ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE/SURFACE HEATING
WILL ALLOW FOR LOW END RAIN CHANCES EACH DAY INTO NEXT WEEK. WEAK
UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL PREVENT WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER BEGINNING
TOMORROW AND LASTING THROUGH THE WEEKEND…BUT ISOLATED BOUTS OF
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE EVEN THEN.
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS INDICATE PERHAPS A MORE ROBUST SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL OCCUR AS A LARGE
UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS. AMPLE
MOISTURE…INSTABILITY…AND INCREASING WIND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT
SEVERE WEATHER. HOWEVER…MODELS ARE IN GENERAL DISAGREEMENT
REGARDING THE EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW. THEREFORE…WILL KEEP POPS
IN THE CHANCE CATEGORY FOR NOW. IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE
THREAT…HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY BECOME MORE OF
AN ISSUE MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK WITH PERSISTENT RAINFALL.
AS FOR TEMPERATURES…EXPECT NEAR NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES EACH DAY…WITH RAIN CHANCES VIRTUALLY EVERY DAY FROM
NOW THROUGH THE END OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD.
Flood warning for the North Canadian Ricer at Oklahoma City, National Weather Service, Norman
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
236 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013
236 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR
THE NORTH CANADIAN RIVER AT OKLAHOMA CITY.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 1:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST…THE NORTH CANADIAN RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE
LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 18 FEET THURSDAY EVENING.
THE NORTH CANADIAN RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY
EVENING.
* IMPACT…AT 18 FEET…LOW-LYING CROPLANDS AND PASTURES EAST OF
OKLAHOMA CITY NEAR THE TOWNS OF SPENCER AND JONES ARE BRIEFLY
FLOODED.
* FLOOD HISTORY…THIS CREST COMPARES TO THE PREVIOUS CREST STAGE OF
18.4 FEET ON JULY 8…2010.
PEOPLE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD ACT NOW TO EVACUATE AND MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT ENTER ALREADY FLOODED AREAS OR ATTEMPT TO
CROSS ROADWAYS COVERED BY HIGH WATER. STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION BY LISTENING TO WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA SOURCES.
Surveys from the National Weather Service, Tulsa Forecast Office
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
202 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013
…NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 05/20/2013 TORNADO EVENT – UPDATE 1…
.UPDATE…MULTIPLE TORNADOES ADDED BASED ON YESTERDAY’S SURVEYS
AND MODIFICATIONS WERE MADE TO THE TALALA TORNADO.
.AVANT TORNADO…
RATING: EF-1
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 100-110 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 6.5 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 500 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0
START DATE: MAY 20 2013
START TIME: 351 PM CDT
START LOCATION: 5 SSW AVANT / OSAGE COUNTY / OK
END DATE: MAY 20 2013
END TIME: 405 PM CDT
END LOCATION: 5.2 WNW VERA / WASHINGTON COUNTY / OK
SURVEY SUMMARY: NUMEROUS TREES WERE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. A HOME
WAS DAMAGED BY A LARGE LIMB THAT FELL ONTO ITS ROOF. THIS TORNADO
PATH IS LIKELY MULTIPLE TORNADOES. CHASER VIDEO WILL BE USED TO
DETERMINE HOW MANY SEGMENTS MAY HAVE OCCURRED.
.RAMONA TORNADO…
RATING: EF-1
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 95-105 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 4.5 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 400 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0
START DATE: MAY 20 2013
START TIME: 421 PM CDT
START LOCATION: 3 SE RAMONA / WASHINGTON COUNTY / OK
END DATE: MAY 20 2013
END TIME: 430 PM CDT
END LOCATION: 5.2 E RAMONA / WASHINGTON COUNTY / OK
SURVEY SUMMARY: THIS TORNADO DAMAGED A COUPLE HOMES AND SNAPPED OR
UPROOTED SEVERAL TREES.
.TALALA TORNADO…
RATING: EF-1
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 95 TO 105 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 6 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 500 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0
START DATE: MAY 20 2013
START TIME: 433 PM CDT
START LOCATION: 5.8 ENE RAMONA / WASHINGTON COUNTY / OK
END DATE: MAY 20 2013
END TIME: 447 PM CDT
END LOCATION: 3.4 NNW TALALA / ROGERS COUNTY / OK
SURVEY SUMMARY: THIS TORNADO REMAINED OVER OPEN COUNTRY FOR MOST
OF ITS LIFECYCLE. THE RATING IS BASED ON THE SINGLE HOME THAT IT
IS KNOWN TO HAVE DAMAGED AND THE NEARBY BARN. THE PATH LENGTH IS
THEREFORE AN ESTIMATE BASED ON RADAR DATA AND THE WIDTH WILL BE AN
ESTIMATE MAINLY BASED ON CHASER VIDEO.
.WYANDOTTE TORNADO 1…
RATING: EF-2
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 115-125 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 10 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 800 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0
START DATE: MAY 20 2013
START TIME: 625 PM CDT
START LOCATION: 4 N FAIRLAND / OTTAWA COUNTY / OK
START LAT/LON: 36.8129 / -94.8461
END DATE: MAY 20 2013
END TIME: 640 PM CDT
END LOCATION: 4 NE WYANDOTTE / OTTAWA COUNTY / OK
END LAT/LON: 36.8298 / -94.6706
SURVEY SUMMARY: THIS TORNADO SNAPPED OR UPROOTED NUMEROUS TREES
AND DAMAGED NUMEROUS HOMES. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE WAS
LOCATED NEAR THE AREA WHERE THE TORNADO CROSSED HIGHWAY 137 WHERE
A METAL BUILDING WAS SEVERELY DAMAGED AND SEVERAL HOMES WERE
DAMAGED. MANY HARDWOOD TREES WERE ALSO SNAPPED IN THAT AREA.
.WYANDOTTE TORNADO 2…
RATING: EF-1
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 100-110 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 9.5 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 600 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0
START DATE: MAY 20 2013
START TIME: 632 PM CDT
START LOCATION: 2.8 NW WYANDOTTE / OTTAWA COUNTY / OK
START LAT/LON: 36.8128 / -94.7701
END DATE: MAY 20 2013
END TIME: 642 PM CDT
END LOCATION: 0.5 SE SENECA / NEWTON COUNTY / MO
END LAT/LON: 36.8359 / -94.6062
SURVEY SUMMARY: THIS TORNADO DAMAGED SEVERAL HOUSES…DAMAGED
BARNS OR OUTBUILDINGS…AND SNAPPED OR UPROOTED A NUMBER OF TREES.
IT DISSIPATED OVER THE SOUTH SIDE OF SENECA MISSOURI AFTER
SNAPPING OR UPROOTING SEVERAL TREES AS IT CROSSED THE STATE LINE
AND CROSSED HIGHWAY 43. SEVERAL EYEWITNESSES NORTH OF WYANDOTTE SAW
TWO TORNADOES APPROACHING FROM THE WEST AND RADAR DATA AS WELL AS
DAMAGE PATTERNS SUPPORT THAT CONCLUSION. IN ADDITION…THERE WAS
LOTS OF EVIDENCE OF STRAIGHT-LINE WIND DAMAGE SOUTH OF THE
TORNADO PATHS AS THE BOW ECHO STORM SURGED EAST AS IT APPROACHED
THE STATE LINE.
.PROCTOR TORNADO…
RATING: EF-1
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 95 TO 105 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 2 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 150 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0
START DATE: MAY 20 2013
START TIME: 632 PM CDT
START LOCATION: 1.7 SE PROCTOR / ADAIR COUNTY / OK
END DATE: MAY 20 2013
END TIME: 634 PM CDT
END LOCATION: 2.8 E PROCTOR / ADAIR COUNTY / OK
SURVEY SUMMARY: THIS TORNADO UPROOTED TREES AND SNAPPED A FEW
TREES.
.CHRISTIE TORNADO…
RATING: EF-1
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 100 TO 110 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 2.5 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 300 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0
START DATE: MAY 20 2013
START TIME: 635 PM CDT
START LOCATION: 2.5 SW CHRISTIE / ADAIR COUNTY / OK
END DATE: MAY 20 2013
END TIME: 637 PM CDT
END LOCATION: 1 NW CHRISTIE / ADAIR COUNTY / OK
SURVEY SUMMARY: THIS TORNADO SNAPPED OR UPROOTED TREES AND DAMAGED
A BARN.
.WESTVILLE TORNADO…
RATING: EF-1
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 100 TO 110 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 8 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 500 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0
START DATE: MAY 20 2013
START TIME: 640 PM CDT
START LOCATION: 2.7 WSW CHRISTIE / ADAIR COUNTY / OK
END DATE: MAY 20 2013
END TIME: 647 PM CDT
END LOCATION: 1.6 N CINCINNATI / WASHINGTON COUNTY / AR
SURVEY SUMMARY: THIS TORNADO DESTROYED TWO BARNS…DAMAGED
ANOTHER…AND SNAPPED OR UPROOTED NUMEROUS TREES.
EF SCALE: THE ENHANCED FUJITA SCALE CLASSIFIES TORNADOES INTO THE
FOLLOWING CATEGORIES.
EF0…WEAK……65 TO 85 MPH
EF1…WEAK……86 TO 110 MPH
EF2…STRONG….111 TO 135 MPH
EF3…STRONG….136 TO 165 MPH
EF4…VIOLENT…166 TO 200 MPH
EF5…VIOLENT…>200 MPH
NOTE:
THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO
CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENTS AND PUBLICATION IN NWS
STORM DATA.
Radar timeline of the EF5 tornado on May 20
Hazardous weather outlook, National Weather Service, Norman (12:22 p.m., Thursday)
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1222 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1222 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE…THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT…
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS ACROSS FAR SOUTHWEST
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. A SLIGHT RISK SURROUNDS THE
MODERATE RISK AREA AND INCLUDES MUCH OF WESTERN…PARTS OF CENTRAL…
AND MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.
STRONG STORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
THROUGH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
LOCATION…
THE MODERATE RISK AREA IS WEST OF A LINE FROM MANGUM…TO
FREDERICK…TO WAURIKA…AND INCLUDES TEXAS COUNTIES WEST OF
HENRIETTA. THIS INCLUDES WICHITA FALLS AND VERNON TEXAS. THE
SLIGHT RISK AREA IS WEST OF A LINE FROM ARNETT…TO WEATHERFORD…
TO PURCELL…TO DURANT…AND INCLUDES WESTERN PARTS OF THE OKLAHOMA
CITY METRO…INCLUDING NEWCASTLE AND MOORE.
IMPACTS…
THE MAIN HAZARDS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WILL BE VERY
LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF TENNIS BALLS AND DAMAGING WINDS
UP TO 70 MPH. TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE…ESPECIALLY IN
THE MODERATE RISK AREA OVER SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS
EARLY THIS EVENING.
TIMING…
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 4 PM AND
MIDNIGHT CDT. STRONG STORMS OVER NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS…
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS
THE SLIGHT AND MODERATE RISK AREAS SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
DISCUSSION…
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREAS ACROSS
NORTH CENTRAL PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA. THIS MAY LEAD TO A LOCALIZED
FLOOD THREAT IN THESE AREAS…BUT THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
BECOME SEVERE.
THIS AFTERNOON…SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER
THE TEXAS PANHANDLE…THEN MOVE EASTWARD INTO WESTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. DISCRETE SUPERCELLS
ARE EXPECTED…CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BASEBALL SIZED HAIL AND
A FEW TORNADOES. STORMS MAY ORGANIZE INTO A SQUALL
LINE THIS EVENING WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL AS THE
MAIN HAZARDS. STORMS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AFTER
3 AM WITH A DIMINISHING CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER.
EAST OF THE SLIGHT RISK AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING…
INCLUDING THE OKLAHOMA CITY METRO…ADA…DURANT…AND
ARDMORE AREAS…SLIGHTLY STRONGER CAPPING MAY LIMIT
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER…IF THE CAP CAN BE
OVERCOME…ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE…
CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL…DAMAGING WINDS…AND
A TORNADO OR TWO. CONFIDENCE OF SEVERE STORMS IN THESE
AREAS IS LOW COMPARED TO WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.
PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT FRIDAY MAY 24.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR…100 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
PERSISTENT HEAVY RAINFALL THIS MORNING HAS ALREADY LED TO SEVERAL
OCCURRENCES OF FLASH FLOODING AND STREET FLOODING OVER CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.
FLOOD WATERS SHOULD GENERALLY RECEDE BY LATE AFTERNOON…THOUGH ANY
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OVER THESE AREAS LATE TONIGHT MAY RESULT IN FLOODING
ONCE AGAIN AS THE GROUND WILL BE SATURATED.
MINOR RIVER FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG THE CLEAR BOGGY CREEK NEAR CANEY
IN ATOKA COUNTY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY…
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A FEW STRONG TO PERHAPS SEVERE STORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME FRAME…ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE.
