Area forecast discussion from the National Weather Service, Norman
NOT MUCH CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY THIS AFTERNOON. A
WEST-NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. A SHORTWAVE IN THIS FLOW WILL HELP DEVELOP
CYCLOGENESIS TONIGHT AND TOMORROW WHICH WILL THEN BRING A FRONT
THROUGH THE AREA LATE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES
INCREASE WITH THIS BOUNDARY AND SHORTWAVE… AND PERSIST WITH
AS A HIGHER AMPLITUDE WAVE DEVELOPS IN THE WEST AND MOVES TOWARD
THE PLAINS THIS WEEKEND. INITIAL LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE
LIMITED AS ONSHORE FLOW ALONG THE GULF COAST DOES NOT REDEVELOP
UNTIL TONIGHT. THE INITIAL FRONT STALLS OVER TEXAS FRIDAY SO
BETTER MOISTURE WILL BE CLOSER AND COULD SPREAD INTO THE AREA
AHEAD OF THE UPPER WAVE THIS WEEKEND… BUT THEN SURFACE FLOW
LOOKS TO VEER QUICKLY ON SATURDAY. SO WILL HAVE DECENT CHANCES OF
PRECIPITATION WITH THESE SYSTEMS… BUT SHOWERS/STORMS WILL BE
MORE SCATTERED THAN IF BETTER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WERE AVAILABLE…
AND DO NOT EXPECT PRECIPITATION TOTALS TO MAKE A BIG DENT IN THE
DROUGHT CONDITIONS OVER A WIDE AREA… BUT WE WILL TAKE WHAT WE
CAN GET.
COMPUTER MODELS FORECAST SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY
NIGHT AND SATURDAY… MAKING THE CHANCE OF MIXED OR WINTER
PRECIPITATION LESS LIKELY. WILL MAINTAIN THE MENTION OF SOME MIXED
PRECIPITATION IN PORTIONS OF NORTHERN OKLAHOMA FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY… BUT OVER A SMALLER AREA THAN IN THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST.
Thank you for joining our conversation on Oklahoma Weather Blog. We encourage your discussion but ask that you stay within the bounds of our commenting and posting policy.
Comments
No comments yet.
Leave a comment