Hazardous weather outlook for the National Weather Service, Tulsa coverage area

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
 SAT MAR 16 2013

ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
SAT MAR 16 2013

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK…LIMITED.
AREA…EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET…AFTER 7PM.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK…LIMITED.
AREA…NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET…THIS AFTERNOON.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK…LIMITED.
AREA…EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET…LATE MORNING.

DISCUSSION…
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY IN CONJUNCTION WITH
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TRAVERSING THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN BE UNSEASONABLY WARM… HELPING
TO CREATE A LIMITED FIRE DANGER. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
INCREASE THIS EVENING… GENERALLY ACROSS FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS AS DYNAMIC LIFT INCREASES. THERE WILL BE A LIMITED
CHANCE FOR ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT…
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY…THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY…NO HAZARDS.
THURSDAY…HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY…NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION…
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WITH THE CURRENT UPPER SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE
INTO MONDAY. ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE REGION LATE IN
THE WEEK. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM… WARM AND MOIST AIR ADVECTION OVER
SHALLOW COLD AIR AT THE SURFACE ALREADY IN PLACE ACROSS THE
REGION WILL CREATE A GOOD CHANCE FOR CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION WITH
THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVE RAINFALL.

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