Hazardous weather outlook, National Weather Service, Norman

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1205 PM CST MON MAR 4 2013

HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1205 PM CST MON MAR 4 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE…THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION…
A COMPACT YET STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT…DRAGGING A STRONG COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE AREA. DESPITE VERY LITTLE SURFACE MOISTURE…SUFFICIENT
MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE PRESENT TO GENERATE A FEW SHOWERS TONIGHT
OVER NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. AS TEMPERATURES COOL OVERNIGHT…THE RAIN MAY
TRANSITION TO LIGHT SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CST TUESDAY MAR 5.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER WILL OCCUR MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN NORTH TEXAS AND
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO LOW HUMIDITY. WINDS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE ALL THAT STRONG THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS…THUS NO RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE EXPECTED.

NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BECOME QUITE STRONG TOWARD AND DURING THE EVENING
HOURS…ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NECESSARY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
A PERIOD OF COOL AND DRY WEATHER WILL CARRY US INTO THE LATTER PART OF
THE WEEK. BY FRIDAY…A LARGE UPPER LEVEL STORM WILL APPROACH THE REGION.
WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY…SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS FRIDAY NIGHT. FROM SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY…A FRONT
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA…WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EXPECTED. GIVEN FAIRLY STRONG WIND FIELDS AND A MODEST INSTABILITY
INCREASE…STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS WITH STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND VERY DRY AIR IN PLACE. ELEVATED FIRE
DANGER WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY AS SOUTHERLY WINDS AND WARMER
TEMPERATURES RETURN.

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