Area forecast discussion from the National Weather Service, Norman
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
327 PM CST MON FEB 11 2013
.DISCUSSION…
WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL IS THE PRIMARY FOCUS WITH THIS PACKAGE.
THERE IS RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT ABOUT THE AREA MOST LIKELY TO
RECEIVE THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA IN THE ARNETT/WATONGA/ELK CITY REGION. MAIN QUESTION FOR
EXACT LOCATION AND PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE THE SPEED AT
WHICH THE COOLER LOW-LEVEL AIR FILTERS INTO THE AREA AND ALLOWS
THE TRANSITION FROM RAIN TO SNOW. AS USUAL… WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED IF THIS COOLING AND TRANSITION TO SNOW IS LATER THAN
MODELS FORECAST WHICH MAY LIMIT THE SNOWFALL TOTALS SOMEWHAT.
STILL 4 TO 6 INCHES LOOKS POSSIBLE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.
AND THERE IS ENOUGH CHANCE OF 4+ INCHES TO EXPAND THE WINTER STORM
WATCH SLIGHTLY TO INCLUDE WASHITA COUNTY IN THE SOUTH… AND
GRANT.. GARFIELD AND KINGFISHER COUNTY TO THE EAST. BUT WITH
TRANSITION TO SNOW EXPECTED TO OCCUR TOWARD SUNRISE… WILL KEEP
THE HEADLINE AS A WATCH FOR NOW INSTEAD OF ISSUING ANY WARNINGS OR
ADVISORIES WITH THIS PACKAGE.
THERE MAY BE SOME LINGERING SNOW INTO TUESDAY EVENING BEFORE THE
SYSTEM MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA. MADE SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO
LATER PERIODS… INCLUDING ADDING LOW POPS ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
NIGHT.
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