Hazardous weather outlook from the National Weather Service, Tulsa

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
315 PM CST THU FEB 7 2013

ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
315 PM CST THU FEB 7 2013

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE…THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.
RISK…LIMITED.
AREA…FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET…LATE AFTERNOON.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK…LIMITED.
AREA…NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET…ONGOING.

DISCUSSION…
RAIN SHOWERS WITH A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AS A
COLD FRONT PUSHES EASTWARD THROUGH THE REGION. THE ATMOSPHERE HAS
BECOMING MODERATELY UNSTABLE ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS
AFTERNOON WITH A FEW BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER. AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO COULD APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS THIS AREA WITH THE THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL. THE SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL TAPPER OFF BY THIS EVENING FROM WEST TO
EAST AS MORE STABLE AIR FILTERS IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

GUSTY NORTH AND NORTHEASTERLY WINDS IN THE 20 TO NEAR 30 MPH RANGE
HAVE BEEN COMMON ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA BEHIND THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE. WIND GUSTS UP AROUND 25 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON BEHIND THE FRONT. GUSTY WINDS
SHOULD DECREASE DURING THE EVENING HOURS AS THE FRONT EXITS OFF TO
THE EAST.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT…
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY…NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY…THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL…HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY…THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY…NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY…WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY…NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION…
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY
AS THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE PLAINS. LIMITED
INSTABILITY WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW A LIMITED THREAT OF SEVERE
WEATHER SATURDAY EVENING AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE LOOKS TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS DURING THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. COLDER AIR WITH THIS
SYSTEM COULD CREATE LIGHT WINTRY PRECIPITATION AS IT MOVES THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. AS OF NOW…IT APPEARS THAT ANY ACCUMULATIONS WOULD
BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE.

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