Hazardous weather outlook, from the National Weather Service, Norman

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK…UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
221 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
221 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE…REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 5 PM CST
ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

LOCATION…
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA EXTENDS SOUTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM
MARIETTA TO HOLDENVILLE…INCLUDING DURANT…ATOKA…COALGATE…
MADILL…AND TISHOMINGO.

TIMING…
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING AND WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH AROUND
5 PM THIS EVENING.

IMPACTS…
THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL TO THE SIZE
OF HALF DOLLARS…AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH. HAIL MAY CAUSE
MINOR DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND TENDER VEGETATION…AND WIND GUSTS MAY
RESULT IN DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES.

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS…
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREA SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS THROUGH 5 PM CST.

DISCUSSION…
A STRONG COLD FRONT HAS MOVED INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WILL
CONTINUE TO SURGE SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH TONIGHT. AS THIS OCCURS AND
THE FRONT ENCOUNTERS RICH MOIST AIR OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA…THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY PERSIST AND POTENTIALLY
INTENSIFY THROUGH 5 PM CST ACROSS SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA. WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL EVENTUALLY EXIT
THE AREA TO THE EAST BY 5 PM CST.

AS COLD AIR FILLS INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT…WINTRY PRECIPITATION MAY DEVELOP…THOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT
SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED.

PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 PM CST WEDNESDAY JAN 30.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR…30 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THROUGH 6 PM CST WHERE A WIND ADVISORY IS
IN EFFECT.

MUCH COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT. AS THIS
COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION…A STRONG UPPER STORM SYSTEM MAY
GENERATE LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THIS AREA…LEADING
TO LOCALIZED SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. LOCALIZED AREAS MAY RECEIVE UP TO
AN INCH OF SNOW BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY…LEADING TO SLICK BRIDGES AND
ROADWAYS. EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING ACROSS THIS AREA LATE
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE COMING WEEKEND.
ANOTHER FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH OKLAHOMA ON MONDAY…BRINGING A CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS TO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE.

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