Hazardous weather outlook, from the National Weather Service, Norman

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1230 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

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ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
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1230 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE…THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

LOCATION…
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA EXTENDS SOUTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM
WAURIKA…TO PURCELL…TO SHAWNEE AND PRAGUE.

TIMING…
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING AND WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH AROUND 6
PM THIS EVENING.

IMPACTS…
THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL TO THE SIZE
OF HALF DOLLARS…AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH. HAIL MAY CAUSE
DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND TENDER VEGETATION…AND WIND GUSTS MAY RESULT
IN DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES.

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS…
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREA SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS THROUGH THIS
EVENING.

DISCUSSION…
A STRONG COLD FRONT HAS MOVED INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WILL
CONTINUE TO SURGE SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH TONIGHT. AS THIS OCCURS AND
THE FRONT ENCOUNTERS RICH MOIST AIR OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA…THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY PERSIST AND POTENTIALLY
INTENSIFY HEADING INTO MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL EVENTUALLY EXIT THE AREA TO THE EAST BY
LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. ELEVATED FIRE DANGER WILL EXIST
ACROSS SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS BEHIND THE
FRONT…WITHIN AND WARM…DRY…AND BREEZY AIRMASS. AS COLD AIR
FILLS INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT…WINTRY
PRECIPITATION MAY DEVELOP…THOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED.

PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 PM CST WEDNESDAY JAN 30.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR…60 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
HIGH WINDS…LOW HUMIDITIES AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL LEAD TO
CRITICAL FIRE DANGER ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 6 PM FOR THIS AREA.BURNING IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED IN
THIS AREA…AS ANY WILDFIRES WILL SPREAD RAPIDLY.

MUCH COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT. AS THIS
COLD AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION…A STRONG UPPER STORM SYSTEM MAY
GENERATE LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THIS AREA…LEADING
TO LOCALIZED SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. LOCALIZED AREAS MAY RECEIVE UP TO
AN INCH OF SNOW BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY…LEADING TO SLICK BRIDGES AND
ROADWAYS. EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING ACROSS THIS AREA LATE
TONIGHT OR TOMORROW MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE COMING WEEKEND.
ANOTHER FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH OKLAHOMA MONDAY…BRINGING A CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS TO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE.

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