Area forecast discussion from the National Weather Service
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 1208 PM CST THU DEC 27 2012 .AVIATION...18Z TAF ISSUANCE... BREEZY SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE CALMING AND TURNING OUT OF THE NORTH THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT WITH THE PASSAGE OF A WEAK COLD FRONT FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. A DECENT AMOUNT OF MID TO LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE STREAM ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT...5 TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT...WITH LOWERED CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES LATE TONIGHT...AS 1 TO 4SM BR WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS DROPPING A FEW DEGREES BELOW ZERO...FREEZING FOG MAY ALSO BE A CONCERN. FOR NOW...WILL CONTINUE WITH IFR CONDITIONS AT KOKC AND KOUN...WITH MVFR AT KLAW AND KSPS...WITH ONLY MENTION OF BR. JTK && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 527 AM CST THU DEC 27 2012/ DISCUSSION... THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION FOLLOWS.... AVIATION... SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY AS THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SE ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...SWITCHING WINDS AROUND TO THE N OR NW. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE BROUGHT N TODAY AND TONIGHT...LIKELY BRINGING CEILINGS AND LOWER VISIBILITIES BY SUNRISE OVER MUCH OF THE REGION. THE CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES IN THE TAFS ARE ROUGH ESTIMATES...AND ACTUAL CONDITIONS MAY BE MUCH WORSE IN A FEW LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SE OF I-44. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 438 AM CST THU DEC 27 2012/ DISCUSSION... SOMEWHAT WARMER AIR WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN NORTH TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA TODAY...BUT REMAINING SNOW COVER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF OUR FORECAST AREA WILL DAMPEN THE WARM-UP...EVEN FOR AREAS TO THE NORTH WHERE LITTLE OR NO SNOW IS ON THE GROUND. AS THE WARM AIR CONTINUES TO FLOW NORTH LATE TONIGHT...SOME DRIZZLE AND FOG MAY FORM...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. SOME LIGHT RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE INTO FRIDAY IN THE SOUTHEAST. COOLER AIR WILL SPILL SOUTH AGAIN BY LATE FRIDAY AS THE SURFACE WAVE MOVES OFF TO THE EAST. THIS WILL LOWER HIGHS A BIT ON FRIDAY OVER MOST OF THE REGION...AND THE RELATIVELY COOL WEATHER WILL LAST INTO SATURDAY. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN ON SUNDAY...AND WILL BE RELATIVELY STRONG. MOISTURE WILL LIKEWISE BE DRAWN RAPIDLY NORTH...AND THE RAIN CHANCES GO UP QUITE A BIT FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR FREEZING...SO A VARIETY OF WEATHER TYPES CAN BE EXPECTED...ASSUMING THAT PRECIPITATION DOES OCCUR. MODELS ARE HANDLING THE EARLY-WEEK SYSTEMS QUITE DIFFERENTLY...SO CONFIDENCE IS NOT AS HIGH AS IT COULD BE FOR THE FORECAST NEXT WEEK. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... OKLAHOMA CITY OK 38 22 34 18 / 10 10 10 0 HOBART OK 37 18 34 16 / 0 0 0 0 WICHITA FALLS TX 44 25 40 21 / 10 0 10 0 GAGE OK 36 10 31 12 / 0 0 0 0 PONCA CITY OK 40 16 34 14 / 10 0 0 0 DURANT OK 39 34 42 24 / 10 10 20 10 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...NONE. TX...NONE.
Thank you for joining our conversation on Oklahoma Weather Blog. We encourage your discussion but ask that you stay within the bounds of our commenting and posting policy.
Comments
No comments yet.
Leave a comment