Area forecast discussion regarding next Monday, Tuesday, from the National Weather Service, Norman

THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THE FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE THE POSSIBILITY
OF FROZEN PRECIPITATION LATE CHRISTMAS EVE THROUGH CHRISTMAS
NIGHT.

PREVIOUSLY…MOST OF THE NWP DETERMINISTIC MODELS STARTED
TO TREND CLOSER TO A SIMILAR SOLUTION WITH REGARDS TO THE POSITION
AND SPEED OF THE PASSING MID TO UPPER TROUGH…RESULTING IN A
BRIEF CLOSED LOW NEAR THE RED RIVER. THEY REMAIN SIMILAR…BUT
THEY APPEAR TO HAVE DRIFTED APART AGAIN.

THE ECMWF…DGEX…AND
GEM NOW KEEP THE WAVE OPEN UNTIL IT PASSES OK LIMITING THE AMOUNT
OF LIFT OVER OUR FORECAST AREA. FOR NOW…NOT MANY CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE
CURRENT POPS SINCE CONFIDENCE IS HIGH ENOUGH TO KEEP AT LEAST LOW
CHANCES PRESENT. ALTHOUGH A FASTER SOLUTION WITH LOWER QPF SEEMS
REASONABLE SO THOSE ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE.

Source: National Weather Service, Norman

Thank you for joining our conversation on Oklahoma Weather Blog. We encourage your discussion but ask that you stay within the bounds of our commenting and posting policy.