Hazardous weather outlook, from the National Weather Service, Tulsa

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
MON NOV 5 2012

ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
MON NOV 5 2012

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK…LIMITED.
AREA…EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET…THIS AFTERNOON.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK…LIMITED.
AREA…EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET…THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION…
A COLD FRONT ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA WILL CONTINUE ON EAST
TODAY. THE FRONT MAY RESULT IN SOME SHOWERS OR ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. MARGINAL INSTABILITY WILL KEEP ANY THUNDERSTORMS
THAT MANAGE TO DEVELOP BELOW SEVERE LIMITS.

NORTH NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL GUST TO 20 TO 30
MILES AN HOUR THIS AFTERNOON OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
THE WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 30 TO 40 PERCENT WILL
POSE A THREAT OF RAPID FIRE SPREAD.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT…
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY…NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY…NO HAZARDS.
THURSDAY…VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY…THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL…VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL…HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY…THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL…VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL…HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY…THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL…HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION…
A DEEPENING TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN STATES TOWARD THE END OF THE
WORK WEEK WILL PROVIDE A TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THAT GRADIENT WILL PRODUCE VERY STRONG WINDS.
AS THE TROUGH MOVES CLOSER CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT…
STRONG WINDS WILL HEIGHTEN FIRE CONCERNS.

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