Area forecast discussion from National Weather Service

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 1241 PM CDT MON JUL 9 2012 .

AVIATION… 18 TAFS… SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA THIS AFTN/EVENING. HOWEVER… WITH THE HIT OR MISS NATURE… IT IS DIFFICULT TO DISCERN WHICH SITES SPECIFICALLY WILL BE AFFECTED. SHOWERS/STORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT WITH BEST CHANCE ACROSS WESTERN OK AND WESTERN NORTH TX.

LOW VFR CEILINGS WILL AFFECT THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. && .PREV DISCUSSION… /ISSUED 1009 AM CDT MON JUL 9 2012/ DISCUSSION… SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY. GREATEST COVERAGE WILL LIKELY BE OVER WESTERN OKLAHOMA INTO ADJACENT PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS WHERE DEVELOPMENT OF MOIST POST- FRONTAL UPSLOPE FLOW WILL AID IN STORM INITIATION…AND ALSO ALONG SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA RED RIVER VALLEY CLOSER TO FRONT AND DEEPER MOISTURE.

REMOVED MORNING POPS FROM A LARGE PART OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA BUT LEFT AFTERNOON POP/WX GRIDS PRETTY MUCH UNTOUCHED. BUMPED WINDS UP A MOST LOCATIONS GIVEN OBSERVATION TRENDS AND NEWER NAM/WRF. && .

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS… OKLAHOMA CITY OK 93 72 90 70 / 40 30 20 10 HOBART OK 96 69 90 69 / 50 50 30 10 WICHITA FALLS TX 98 74 90 72 / 50 50 40 20 GAGE OK 86 66 89 63 / 50 50 20 10 PONCA CITY OK 90 70 93 67 / 40 20 10 10 DURANT OK 94 74 90 72 / 60 50 30 30

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