Hazardous weather outlook from the National Weather Service

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 440 AM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012 OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-301700-

HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE- ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM- WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND- POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN- COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON- CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER- WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY- 440 AM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN… CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. .

DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT… THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK… ISOLATED STORMS MAY DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE WEST AND MOVE INTO FAR NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA DURING THE EVENING. ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

DISCUSSION… ELONGATED RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE REGION…SUPPRESSING CONVECTION AND LIMITING THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL DURING THE DAY.

BY EVENING…A FEW STORMS MAY MOVE INTO PARTS OF NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA FROM THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES AND SOUTHERN KANSAS. ANY STORMS THAT MANAGE TO MAKE IT INTO THE AREA WILL LIKELY WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS THEY MOVE INTO THE STABLE AIRMASS OVER MUCH OF OKLAHOMA. WITH A CONTINUED HOT AND DRY AIRMASS…

ANY STORMS THAT CAN HOLD ON WILL BE CAPABLE OF STRONG AND POSSIBLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS. LIMITING FACTORS OF SEVERE STORMS INCLUDE VERY SPARSE STORM COVERAGE AND TIME OF DAY…AS ARRIVAL OF STORMS WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO THE EVENING HOURS WHEN INSTABILITY IS GENERALLY DECREASING. PROBABILITY TABLE… VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SUNDAY JUL 1.

PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…30 PERCENT. PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR…40 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER… NONE. .

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY… THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK… STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MONDAY AS AN UPPER DISTURBANCE APPROACHES SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA FROM EASTERN TEXAS.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER… WHILE HEAT INDICES WILL REMAIN BELOW HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA… VERY HOT CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK.

TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT YOURSELF AND YOUR FAMILY DURING THIS PERIOD OF HOT WEATHER. THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY NOON TODAY.

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