Hazardous weather outlook, from the National Weather Service, Tulsa

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
 WED MAR 28 2012

ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
WED MAR 28 2012

…CHANCE FOR SHOWERS & STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT…

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK…LIMITED.
AREA…FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET…THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION…
A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT NORTH OF THE OKLAHOMA KANSAS BORDER WILL
BE THE MAIN FOCUS FOR THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. THE GREATER POSSIBILITY LOOKS TO BE ALONG AND NEAR THE
MISSOURI AND KANSAS BORDERS AS STORMS TO THE NORTH THIS AFTERNOON 
TRY TO FORM INTO A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX AND PUSH SOUTHEAST THIS
EVENING. A LIMITED SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THIS
ACTIVITY WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MAIN HAZARDS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT…
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY…THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY…NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY…THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY…NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION…
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THIS WILL CONTINUE CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND WEAK SHEAR WITHIN THIS
DISTURBANCE SHOULD LIMIT THE SEVERE POTENTIAL. WARM TEMPERATURES
LOOK TO RETURN OVER THE WEEKEND AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE PLAINS. A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE AS THE FRONT
MOVES THROUGH THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT.

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