Hazardous weather outlook, from the National Weather Service, Norman

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MON MAR 26 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS BEGINNING THIS EVENING. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

DISCUSSION…
A POTENT UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL PLAINS REGION THIS AFTERNOON…DRAGGING A COLD FRONT INTO
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. WHILE THE ATMOSPHERE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
CAPPED MUCH OF THE DAY…THE COMBINATION OF LIFT IN THE VICINITY OF
THE FRONT AND DRYLINE COMBINED WITH DAYTIME HEATING MAY BE ENOUGH TO
PROMOTE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. STORMS WILL INITIALLY
FORM OVER THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES AND MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD
INTO PARTS OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. ADDITIONAL
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE EVENING
AS THE FRONT ADVANCES SOUTHEASTWARD INTO NORTHERN AND WESTERN
OKLAHOMA.

PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT TUESDAY MAR 27.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…30 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR…10 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
A FRONT WILL STALL OVER THE AREA TUESDAY…WITH A WARM AND MOIST
AIRMASS IN PLACE ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS. AS A SERIES OF
WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES INTERACTS WITH THIS AIRMASS…ISOLATED
TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH
DAY THROUGH FRIDAY. SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY STRONGER STORMS DURING THIS PERIOD…BUT GIVEN MODEST
INSTABILITY AND RATHER WEAK WIND FIELDS…ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER
IS NOT EXPECTED.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE.

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