Hazardous weather outlook for the National Weather Service, Norman Forecast Office coverage area

 

HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1153 AM CDT WED OCT 26 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

DISCUSSION…
A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH ALL BUT SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WEDNESDAY
MORNING… AND WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF AREA BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY EVENING.  RELATIVELY MOIST AIR WILL EXIST AHEAD OF THE
FRONT… BUT LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND INSTABILITY WILL NOT BE
PARTICULARLY STRONG. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON… BUT ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP SHOULD REMAIN WELL BELOW
SEVERE LEVELS.

LARGE SCALE LIFT WILL INCREASE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS LATE TONIGHT
AS A FAST MOVING UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES. WIDESPREAD RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS ON THURSDAY… WITH A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER POSSIBLE
MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40. INSTABILITY WILL BE MINIMAL… AND
SEVERE WEATHER IS UNLIKELY.

PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT THURSDAY OCT 27.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…60 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR…10 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM PASSES OVER THE REGION… A FEW LIGHTNING
STRIKES WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY… MAINLY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
AS SKIES CLEAR AND WINDS DECREASE…SOME AREAS MAY EXPERIENCE A
LIGHT FREEZE OR A FROST IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.

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