Hazardous weather outlook, National Weather Service, Norman

 

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 TUE AUG 30 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY ACROSS THE REGION.
HOWEVER… NO ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED.

DISCUSSION…
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA TODAY.
EARLY MORNING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE REGION WILL
WEAKEN DURING THE MORNING HOURS. LATER TODAY… DAYTIME HEATING…
COMBINED WITH THE WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCE… COULD RESULT IN A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA. ANY REMAINING OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM THE MORNING ACTIVITY
COULD HELP TO FOCUS STORM DEVELOPMENT. ALTHOUGH THE WINDS ALOFT WILL
BE SLIGHTLY STRONGER TODAY… THE LIMITED AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY WILL
REDUCE THE CHANCE FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS. HOWEVER… ANY STORM
THAT MIGHT DEVELOP IN AN AREA EXPERIENCING VERY HOT TEMPERATURES…
MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA… POSES THE RISK OF PRODUCING
BRIEF STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS.

PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT WEDNESDAY AUG 31.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…50 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR…15 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS. THE FIRE DANGER WILL BE VERY HIGH TO EXTREME WITH A RED
FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WEEKEND.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
THE HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT ACROSS SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY. FIRE DANGER WILL
REMAIN HIGH TO VERY HIGH THROUGH FRIDAY… ESPECIALLY WITH DRY AND
WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.

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