Hazardous weather outlook, National Weather Service, Norman

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TUE JUN 28 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE…THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
ISOLATED STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON AND OVER NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION…
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WHICH MOVED THROUGH NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS MORNING HAVE NOW MOVED INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
OUTFLOW FROM THESE STORMS HAS PUSHED INTO PARTS OF SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTH TEXAS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP AGAIN THIS
AFTERNOON…MAINLY IN PARTS OF SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…NEAR THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY OR OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM THE STORMS EARLIER TODAY. THERE
COULD BE AN ISOLATED STRONG STORM WITH MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND
STRONG WINDS THIS AFTERNOON.

THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO LIFT BACK NORTH LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT AS A WARM FRONT AND BY TONIGHT IS EXPECTED TO EXTEND FROM
NEAR THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. STORMS MAY MOVE OR DEVELOP
SOUTHEASTWARD INTO PARTS OF NORTHERN OKLAHOMA…ESPECIALLY NEAR AND
NORTH OF THE FRONT…LATER TONIGHT. ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE UNLIKELY DUE TO RELATIVELY WEAK WINDS ALOFT… BUT THERE COULD
BE A FEW ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WITH STRONG WINDS AND MARGINALLY
SEVERE HAIL TONIGHT.

PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT WEDNESDAY JUN 29.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…60 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR…20 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
ALTHOUGH MOST AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE A BREAK FROM THE RECENT RECORD
HEAT… AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES AGAIN WILL APPROACH 105 OVER WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS AND PARTS OF FAR SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE AGAIN BY WEDNESDAY… LEADING TO
UNSEASONABLY HOT CONDITIONS AREAWIDE AGAIN BY LATE WEEK AND INTO THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND. PLAN AHEAD AND WORK DURING THE EARLY MORNING OR
EVENING HOURS TO AVOID HEAT RELATED ILLNESSES.

EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS WILL CONTINUE TO ELEVATE THE RISK OF WILDFIRES ON HOT
AND WINDY DAYS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

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