Cold front expected in far northwest Oklahoma by 5 pm and will quickly move across the area tonight, National Weather Service, Norman Forecast Office
REGIONAL WEATHER DISCUSSION…
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS PARTS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS ACTIVITY WILL
MOVE NORTHEAST AND COULD AFFECT LOCATIONS MAINLY EAST OF A LINE FROM
STILLWATER AND SHAWNEE… TO ADA AND TISHOMINGO… TO DURANT
OKLAHOMA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM A TENTH OF AN INCH OR
LESS.
MEANWHILE AT 3 PM… HUMIDITIES IN FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA
AND NORTH TEXAS RANGED FROM 10 TO 20 PERCENT. THESE LOWER HUMIDITIES
WILL CONTINUE TO COMBINE WITH THE WARM TEMPERATURES AND WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS TO INCREASE THE WILDFIRE POTENTIAL FOR THE REST OF
THE AFTERNOON.
ALSO AT 3 PM… SOUTHWEST WINDS RANGED FROM 10 TO 25 MPH ACROSS MOST
OF THE AREA… WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OVER 30 MPH. TEMPERATURES
RANGED FROM THE MID 60S IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA TO THE LOW 80S IN
PARTS OF SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE
AFTERNOON HOURS INTO TONIGHT MAINLY ALONG AND AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD
FRONT THAT WAS MOVING THROUGH SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL KANSAS THE
MIDDLE OF THIS AFTERNOON. THIS COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE IN FAR
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA BY 5 PM AND QUICKLY MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT.
THIS FRONT WILL BRING MUCH COLDER AIR TO THE REGION QUICKLY DROPPING
TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE FRONT TONIGHT. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY
BECOME SEVERE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
Thanksgiving forecast, National Weather Service, Amarillo, Texas, includes Oklahoma Panhandle
Tornado watch includes some eastern Oklahoma counties, National Weather Service, Tulsa
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 750 IN
EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IN ARKANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 2 COUNTIES
IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
BENTON CARROLL
IN OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 6 COUNTIES
IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
CRAIG DELAWARE MAYES
NOWATA OTTAWA ROGERS
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…BENTONVILLE…BERRYVILLE…
CLAREMORE…EUREKA SPRINGS…JAY…MIAMI…NOWATA…PRYOR…
ROGERS AND VINITA.
Short-term forecast, National Weather Service, Norman
REGIONAL WEATHER DISCUSSION…
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS PARTS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS ACTIVITY WILL
MOVE NORTHEAST AND COULD AFFECT LOCATIONS MAINLY EAST OF A LINE FROM
STILLWATER AND SHAWNEE… TO ADA AND TISHOMINGO… TO DURANT
OKLAHOMA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM A TRACE TO A FEW
HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH.
MEANWHILE AT 2 PM… HUMIDITIES IN PARTS OF FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF
OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS RANGED FROM 10 TO AROUND 25 PERCENT. THESE
LOWER HUMIDITIES WILL COMBINE WITH THE WARM TEMPERATURES AND WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS TO INCREASE THE WILDFIRE POTENTIAL FOR THE REST OF
THE AFTERNOON.
ALSO AT 2 PM… SOUTHWEST WINDS RANGED FROM 15 TO 25 MPH ACROSS MOST
OF THE AREA… WITH SOME GUSTS OVER 30 MPH. TEMPERATURES RANGED FROM
THE MID 60S IN PARTS OF NORTHERN OKLAHOMA TO THE LOW 80S IN PARTS OF
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE
AFTERNOON HOURS INTO TONIGHT MAINLY ALONG AND AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD
FRONT THAT WAS MOVING THROUGH SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL KANSAS EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON. THIS COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE IN FAR NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND QUICKLY MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL BRING MUCH COLDER AIR TO THE REGION QUICKLY
DROPPING TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE FRONT TONIGHT. SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
Hazardous weather outlook, National Weather Service, Norman
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE…THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
LOCATION…
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IS GENERALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM STILLWATER AND
CHANDLER… TO SHAWNEE AND ADA… TO ATOKA. OTHER NON-SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO EXTEND FARTHER WEST TO NEAR A
NEWKIRK… TO EL RENO.. TO SEYMOUR TEXAS LINE.
TIMING…
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THROUGH
MIDNIGHT.
IMPACTS…
LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS… AND WINDS TO NEAR 65 MPH.
IF ANY DISCRETE SUPERCELLS CAN DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT… A
TORNADO OR TWO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT.
DISCUSSION…
LOW-LEVEL SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PULL MOISTURE… AND MORE
UNSTABLE AIR… NORTHWARD INTO OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS… WITH THE
MOST UNSTABLE AIR EXPECTED TO BE OVER EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY BY THIS EVENING…AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. WHILE STRONG DEEP LAYER WIND SHEAR OVER THE
AREA WILL HELP SUPPORT SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT… THE
PRESENCE OF EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER COULD ACT TO LESSEN THE AMOUNT OF
AVAILABLE INSTABILITY IN SOME LOCATIONS. HOWEVER… SHOULD THE CLOUD
COVER THIN OUT MORE THAN IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED… THE INSTABILITY
AND THE CHANCE FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL INCREASE. A STRONG COLD FRONT
MOVING ACROSS THE AREA WILL HELP MAINTAIN THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
THROUGH THE NIGHT ALTHOUGH SEVERE STORM CHANCES WILL DIMINISH BY
LATE TONIGHT DUE TO DECREASING INSTABILITY.
PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CST THURSDAY NOV 23.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…80 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR…20 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
A DRYLINE WILL MOVE INTO THE FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND
NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. THE WARM… DRY AIR BEHIND IT WILL
COMBINE WITH MODERATE WINDS TO ELEVATE WILDFIRE CONCERNS. A STRONG
COLD FRONT WILL BRING A SHARP WIND SHIFT AND AN INCREASE IN WIND
SPEEDS BEGINNING IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
SPREADING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL TURN SHARPLY COLDER OVER ALL OF THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WHILE THE BRISK NORTH WINDS WILL RESULT
IN WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS
BY LATE TONIGHT. FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE
AREA BY THURSDAY MORNING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY…
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
ONGOING THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA EARLY THURSDAY MORNING
WILL EXIT THE AREA BY MIDDAY. THE INSTABILITY BY THAT TIME IS
EXPECTED TO BE INSUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
GUSTY NORTH WINDS ALONG WITH MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN
WIND CHILLS RANGING FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS IN PARTS OF WESTERN
OKLAHOMA… TO THE TEENS OVER MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THURSDAY MORNING.
A HARD FREEZE IS EXPECTED OVER THE ENTIRE AREA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS AND TWENTIES WILL
OCCUR AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
Short-term forecast, National Weather Service, Norman
REGIONAL WEATHER DISCUSSION…
SPRINKLES OR LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP MOVE ACROSS PARTS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA EARLY. THIS ACTIVITY WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST AND COULD AFFECT LOCATIONS MAINLY NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM
GUTHRIE AND EL RENO…. TO CHICKASHA AND ARDMORE… TO DURANT
OKLAHOMA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM A TRACE TO A FEW
HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH.
MEANWHILE… GULF MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHWARD ACROSS
MUCH OF THE AREA. HOWEVER… DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO
PARTS OF FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. AT MID-DAY…
HUMIDITIES IN FAR NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA RANGED FROM 14 TO AROUND 30
PERCENT. THESE LOWER HUMIDITIES WILL COMBINE WITH THE WARM
TEMPERATURES AND SOUTHWEST WINDS TO INCREASE THE WILDFIRE POTENTIAL
THIS AFTERNOON.
AT MID-DAY… SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WERE RANGED FROM 15 TO 25 MPH
ACROSS THE AREA… WITH AN OCCASIONAL GUST TO AROUND 40 MPH.
TEMPERATURES RANGED FROM THE LOW 60S IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA TO THE
UPPER 70S ALONG THE RED RIVER.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT MAINLY ALONG AND AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT WAS
MOVING THROUGH WEST CENTRAL KANSAS AT MID-DAY. THIS COLD FRONT WILL
DRAMATICALLY DROP TEMPERATURES TONIGHT. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS
MAY BECOME SEVERE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
Thanksgiving Day forecast for some cities in Oklahoma, National Weather Service
Oklahoma City
Thanksgiving Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 43. North northwest wind 20 to 23 mph decreasing to between 11 and 14 mph. Winds could gust as high as 32 mph.
Thursday Night: Clear, with a low around 22. North northwest wind 7 to 9 mph becoming west southwest.
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Tulsa
Thanksgiving Day: A slight chance of freezing rain before 9am, then a slight chance of rain between 9am and noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39. Breezy, with a north northwest wind 18 to 21 mph decreasing to between 9 and 12 mph. Winds could gust as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 23. Northwest wind between 6 and 8 mph.
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Enid
Thanksgiving Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 40. North northwest wind between 7 and 17 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Thursday Night: Clear, with a low around 19. North northwest wind at 6 mph becoming west southwest.
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Lawton
Thanksgiving Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 44. Windy, with a north wind 22 to 25 mph decreasing to between 9 and 12 mph. Winds could gust as high as 36 mph.
Thursday Night: Clear, with a low around 20. Northwest wind between 3 and 8 mph.
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Elk City
Thanksgiving Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 39. North northwest wind 21 to 24 mph decreasing to between 10 and 13 mph. Winds could gust as high as 33 mph.
Thursday Night: Clear, with a low around 21. West northwest wind between 6 and 11 mph.
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Sallisaw
Thanksgiving Day: A 40 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39. Breezy, with a north northwest wind between 14 and 21 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 24. Northwest wind between 7 and 13 mph.
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Ardmore
Thanksgiving Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 44. North wind 15 to 18 mph decreasing to between 6 and 9 mph.
Thursday Night: Clear, with a low around 28. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
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Guymon
Thanksgiving Day: A chance of flurries before noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 33. Wind chill values between 1 and 11. North northwest wind between 5 and 15 mph.
Thursday Night: Clear, with a low around 10. Wind chill values between -1 and 4. West wind between 5 and 10 mph.
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Woodward
Thanksgiving Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 38. North northwest wind between 7 and 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Thursday Night: Clear, with a low around 21. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west southwest.
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Miami, Okla.
Thanksgiving Day: A slight chance of freezing rain before noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 37. Breezy, with a north northwest wind 17 to 20 mph decreasing to between 8 and 11 mph. Winds could gust as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 21. Northwest wind between 5 and 8 mph.
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Idabel
Thanksgiving Day: Showers and thunderstorms. Temperature falling to around 43 by 5pm. North wind between 15 and 20 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Thursday Night: A 20 percent chance of rain before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. North wind between 5 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
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Altus
Thanksgiving Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 42. Windy, with a north northwest wind 22 to 25 mph decreasing to between 7 and 10 mph. Winds could gust as high as 36 mph.
Thursday Night: Clear, with a low around 16. Northwest wind between 3 and 7 mph.
Hazardous weather outlook, today, Thanksgiving and for the next few days, National Weather Service, Norman
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA… SPREADING NORTH INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA LATE
TONIGHT. THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE
LEVELS.
DISCUSSION…
A COOL AND STABLE AIRMASS OVER OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS WILL LIKELY
PREVENT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT DURING THE DAY. SOUTH WINDS
DEVELOPING JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE TONIGHT WILL BEGIN TO PULL MOIST
AND MORE UNSTABLE AIR BACK NORTH INTO THE REGION… RESULTING IN AN
INCREASING CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. ONLY MODEST AMOUNTS OF
INSTABILITY ARE FORECAST… AND SO THE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
MINIMAL.
PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CST WEDNESDAY NOV 23.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…50 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR…10 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL CREATE LOCALLY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS
OVER PARTS OF NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA… UNTIL IT BURNS OFF LATE THIS
MORNING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY…
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN
AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA EARLY WEDNESDAY. THE POTENTIAL FOR INCREASING
INSTABILITIES DEVELOPING DURING THE DAY WILL RESULT IN A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MAINLY EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
A DRYLINE WILL MOVE ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
ON WEDNESDAY… WITH WARM AND VERY DRY AIR BEHIND IT. THIS WILL
ELEVATE WILDFIRE CONCERNS.
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING A SHARP WIND SHIFT AND AN INCREASE IN
WIND SPEEDS BEGINNING IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA WEDNESDAY EVENING AND
SPREADING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT
HOURS.
TEMPERATURES WILL TURN SHARPLY COLDER OVER ALL OF THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BRISK WINDS WILL
RESULT IN WIND CHILL TEMPERATURE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. A WIDESPREAD HARD FREEZE
IS EXPECTED NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44 THURSDAY MORNING… AND
EVERYWHERE ON FRIDAY MORNING.
Severe thunderstorms possible, National Weather Service, Norman
Wednesday night, National Weather Service, Norman
