Hazardous weather outlook, today, Thanksgiving and for the next few days, National Weather Service, Norman

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA… SPREADING NORTH INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA LATE
TONIGHT. THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE
LEVELS.

DISCUSSION…
A COOL AND STABLE AIRMASS OVER OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS WILL LIKELY
PREVENT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT DURING THE DAY. SOUTH WINDS
DEVELOPING JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE TONIGHT WILL BEGIN TO PULL MOIST
AND MORE UNSTABLE AIR BACK NORTH INTO THE REGION… RESULTING IN AN
INCREASING CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. ONLY MODEST AMOUNTS OF
INSTABILITY ARE FORECAST… AND SO THE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
MINIMAL.

PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CST WEDNESDAY NOV 23.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…50 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR…10 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL CREATE LOCALLY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS
OVER PARTS OF NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA… UNTIL IT BURNS OFF LATE THIS
MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN
AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA EARLY WEDNESDAY. THE POTENTIAL FOR INCREASING
INSTABILITIES DEVELOPING DURING THE DAY WILL RESULT IN A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MAINLY EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
A DRYLINE WILL MOVE ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
ON WEDNESDAY… WITH WARM AND VERY DRY AIR BEHIND IT. THIS WILL
ELEVATE WILDFIRE CONCERNS.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING A SHARP WIND SHIFT AND AN INCREASE IN
WIND SPEEDS BEGINNING IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA WEDNESDAY EVENING AND
SPREADING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT
HOURS.

TEMPERATURES WILL TURN SHARPLY COLDER OVER ALL OF THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BRISK WINDS WILL
RESULT IN WIND CHILL TEMPERATURE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. A WIDESPREAD HARD FREEZE
IS EXPECTED NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44 THURSDAY MORNING… AND
EVERYWHERE ON FRIDAY MORNING.

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