Hazardous weather outlook, National Weather Service, Norman

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE…THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.  

DISCUSSION…
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND FAR WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  BY MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON…SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE
FRONT. ALTHOUGH DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK ACROSS
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS…MODERATE TO HIGH INSTABILITY
WILL BE IN PLACE.  THEREFORE…ORGANIZED SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED…BUT A FEW STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE
STORMS MAY OCCUR DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.  AREAS
ALONG AND SOUTH OF A HOBART TO ADA LINE WILL HAVE THE BEST
OPPORTUNITY FOR STORMS.  MEANWHILE…SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS FAR NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA THROUGH
THE MID AFTERNOON. ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW
STRONG STORMS WILL SMALL HAIL AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL. 

PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT FRIDAY SEP 17.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR…50 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
WARM AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND AND CONTINUING INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS TO THE
FORECAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

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