Short-term forecast from National Weather Service, Amarillo (includes Oklahoma Panhandle)
From National Weather Service, Amarillo:
…A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN
AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND THE NORTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE…
AN AREA OF LIGHT RAIN MIXED WITH LIGHT SNOW OVER THE WESTERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE WILL CONTINUE MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH THROUGH 1 AM. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS SHOULD REMAIN LESS THAN FIVE HUNDRETHS OF AN INCH…WHILE
ANY SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD REMAIN GENERALLY LESS THAN ONE
HALF OF AN INCH.
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
NEW MEXICO WILL MOVE EAST INTO WEST TEXAS TONIGHT…WITH ADDITIONAL
RAIN AND SNOW EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS
PANHANDLES.
From National Weather Service, Norman: Forecasts for Oklahoma City, Weatherford, Tulsa, Enid, Elk City, Lawton, Guymon
Oklahoma City:
Monday: A chance of rain and snow before noon, then a slight chance of rain. Cloudy, with a high near 45. North northeast wind around 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. North wind between 8 and 10 mph.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 49. North northwest wind between 7 and 9 mph.
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 31. North northwest wind around 6 mph.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 52.
Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 31.
Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 56.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 37.
Friday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 56.
Friday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42.
Saturday: A 30 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60.
Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62
————————————
Weatherford:
Monday: A chance of rain and snow before noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 45. Northeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. North northeast wind between 7 and 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 49. North northwest wind between 5 and 9 mph.
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 31. East southeast wind around 7 mph.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 48.
Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 31.
Thursday: Partly sunny, with a high near 54.
Thursday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38.
Friday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 56.
Friday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42.
Saturday: A 20 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57.
Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 38.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55.
—————————————————–
Tulsa:
Monday: A chance of sprinkles before noon. Cloudy, with a high near 48. North northeast wind around 10 mph.
Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. North wind between 7 and 9 mph.
Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 47. North wind around 8 mph.
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 29. North northeast wind between 3 and 6 mph.
Wednesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 49.
Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55.
Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35.
Friday: A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57.
Friday Night: A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43.
Saturday: A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58.
Saturday Night: A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47.
Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65.
—————————————
Enid:
Monday: A slight chance of rain and snow before noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 46. North northeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. North northwest wind between 7 and 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 49. North northwest wind around 8 mph.
Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 29. Northeast wind between 5 and 7 mph.
Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 48.
Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 26.
Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 53.
Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33.
Friday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55.
Friday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38.
Saturday: A 20 percent chance of rain. Partly cloudy, with a high near 57.
Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57.
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Elk City:
Monday: A chance of rain and snow before noon, then a slight chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 44. Northeast wind between 14 and 16 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. North northwest wind between 7 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 53. North northwest wind between 6 and 8 mph.
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 32. South southeast wind around 9 mph becoming east northeast.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 50.
Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 33.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 54.
Thursday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39.
Friday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57.
Friday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42.
Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57.
Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 39.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58.
————————————————–
Lawton:
Monday: A chance of rain and snow before noon, then a chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 45. Northeast wind between 10 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. North wind between 7 and 10 mph.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 52. North northwest wind between 3 and 9 mph.
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 33. East wind between 5 and 7 mph.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 54.
Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 36.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 56.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 39.
Friday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 59.
Friday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42.
Saturday: A 20 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60.
Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 60.
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Guymon:
Monday: A 30 percent chance of snow, mainly before noon. Cloudy, with a high near 41. Wind chill values between 17 and 27. North northwest wind between 5 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Monday Night: Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 26. North northwest wind around 5 mph.
Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 55. Wind chill values between 22 and 32 early. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east southeast.
Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 25. East southeast wind between 5 and 10 mph.
Wednesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 46. East southeast wind between 5 and 15 mph.
Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. East southeast wind between 10 and 15 mph.
Thursday: Partly sunny, with a high near 53. Southeast wind between 10 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Thursday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. South southeast wind between 10 and 20 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Friday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32.
Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 62.
Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 33.
Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 54.
From National Weather Service, Norman
From National Weather Service, Norman:
PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD INTO SOUTHWEST
PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. NOT MUCH
COLD AIR IN PLACE SO EXPECT PRECIPITATION TO BE PRIMARILY LIQUID
TONIGHT. THERE COULD BE ENOUGH DIURNAL COOLING OVERNIGHT AND
EVAPORATIVE COOLING IN THE DRIER LOW LEVEL AIR NORTH TO SUPPORT A
MIXTURE OF SOME SNOW IN THE NORTHERN HALF OR SO OF THE AREA… BUT
GETTING PRECIP TO THE GROUND WILL BE MORE DIFFICULT BECAUSE OF THE
LOW-LEVEL DRY AIR AND LACK OF SIGNIFICANT FORCING LIKE FARTHER
SOUTH.
From the National Weather Service, Norman, National Weather Service, Amarillo
NIGHT…WITH THERMAL PROFILES SUGGESTING THAT ANY SNOW WOULD PROBABLY HOLD OFF UNTIL MONDAY MORNING. ONLY LIGHT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH…WITH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION EXPECTED DUE TO WARM NEAR SURFACE TEMPERATURES.
———–
STORM SYSTEM THAT WILL LIKELY AFFECT THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THIS SYSTEM WAS LOCATED OFF THE
CALIFORNIA COAST EARLY THIS EVENING…AND WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AS
IT TRACKS ACROSS THE WESTERN UNITED STATES.
WHILE THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING THE TRACK AND
TIMING…FORECAST CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO IMPROVE REGARDING THE
LIKELIHOOD OF MEASURABLE SNOWFALL. EARLY PROJECTIONS SUPPORT SNOWFALL
TOTALS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES ACROSS PARTS OF THE PANHANDLES.
THE BIG QUESTION IS WHEN WILL THE TEMPERATURE PROFILES BE CONDUCIVE
FOR PRODUCING SNOW. GIVEN THE SLOWER SPEED OF THIS WINTER STORM…
COLD RAIN MAY PERSIST LONGER THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. THIS SLOWER
TIMING COULD DECREASE THE POTENTIAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. IF THE
TRANSITION FROM RAIN TO SNOW OCCURS EARLIER…ACCUMULATIONS WILL
LIKELY INCREASE.
AGAIN…THE CHANCE OF SNOW HAS IMPROVED FOR SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WITH SNOW DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLY LINGERING INTO MONDAY…HAZARDOUS
TRAVEL CONDITIONS COULD PERSIST INTO MONDAY…AFFECTING THE
MORNING DRIVE.
Look ahead from National Weather Service, Norman
Details are not very certain as of yet on this next potential storm.
National Weather Service, Norman:
SNOW MAY ACCUMULATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY… MOST LIKELY ACROSS
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.
From National Weather Service, Norman
From National Weather Service, Norman:
REGIONAL WEATHER DISCUSSION…
RAIN CONTINUES THIS MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL… AND
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL AFFECT LOCATIONS
ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM SHAWNEE AND NORMAN… TO DUNCAN
AND WAURIKA. THE RAIN WILL BE MAINLY LIGHT WITH AMOUNTS OF A TENTH
OF AN INCH OR LESS PER HOUR. THE RAIN MAY MIX WITH SNOW ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA… MAINLY SEMINOLE… ADA… AND
HOLDENVILLE.
PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO END FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST
TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE 40S AND LOW 50S THIS
AFTERNOON.
From National Weather Service, Norman, short-term forecast
.REGIONAL WEATHER DISCUSSION…
RAIN CONTINUES THIS MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL… AND
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. RAIN MAY ALSO MIX WITH SNOW ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA… MAINLY AROUND SHAWNEE… ADA… AND HOLDENVILLE.
MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL AFFECT LOCATIONS ALONG AND SOUTHEAST
OF INTERSTATE 44. THE RAIN WILL BE MAINLY LIGHT WITH AMOUNTS OF A
TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS PER HOUR. LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE
STILL POSSIBLE. HOWEVER… AMOUNTS SHOULD BE LIMITED TO AROUND A
QUARTER OF AN INCH… AND WILL MAINLY BE ON GRASS.
PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO END FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST
TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE 40S AND LOW 50S THIS
AFTERNOON.
Slick roads in some areas, including near Talihina
Report to National Weather Service, Tulsa:
At 9:30 a.m., report from near Talihina of snow falling in higher elevations, reports of multiple vehicles off the road along U.S. 271.
Separate report of road problems along U.S. 259 in that area.
From National Weather Service, Norman
From National Weather Service, Norman:
RAIN CONTINUES THIS MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL… AND
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA… AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. SNOW… OR RAIN MIXED
WITH SNOW… ALSO CONTINUED OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA… MAINLY
BETWEEN SHAWNEE AND ADA. THE RAIN WILL BE MAINLY LIGHT WITH AMOUNTS
OF A TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS PER HOUR. LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW
ARE STILL POSSIBLE… MAINLY AROUND ADA AND HOLDENVILLE. AMOUNTS
SHOULD BE LIMITED TO AROUND A QUARTER INCH… AND WILL MAINLY BE ON
GRASS.
PRECIPITATION WILL END FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST TODAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE 40S AND LOW 50S THIS AFTERNOON.
Winter weather, from National Weather Service, Amarillo
WINTER WEATHER IMPACT STATEMENT…
VALID…
SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WINTER WEATHER EXPECTED…
SNOW.
AFFECTED AREA…
ALL OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES.
FORECAST TIMING OF THE EVENT…
PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING AS MAINLY RAIN
BEFORE MIXING WITH SNOW DURING THE DAY THEN TRANSITIONING TO ALL
SNOW ACROSS THE PANHANDLES BY SUNDAY EVENING. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
INCREASE IN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY BEFORE
COMING TO AN END BY MONDAY EVENING.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS…
MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THIS STORM.
THERE IS AN OUTSIDE POSSIBILITY FOR LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATIONS EARLY
SUNDAY BUT TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO WARM ABOVE FREEZING EARLY
IN THE DAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL
CONDITIONS BY LATE SUNDAY…CONTINUING INTO THE DAY ON MONDAY.
DISCUSSION…
ANOTHER WINTER WEATHER EVENT IS STILL EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE TEXAS
AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES BEGINNING ON SUNDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS IS
STILL SPINNING OFF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST AND WILL SLOWLY MOVE
ACROSS THE WESTERN STATES BETWEEN NOW AND SUNDAY. THIS PRECIPITATION
IS FORECAST TO BEGIN AS RAIN AND/OR SNOW. HOWEVER…WE COULD SEE A
BRIEF WINDOW OF ICING POTENTIAL EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AS TEMPERATURES
DROP BELOW FREEZING. THIS PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST TO TRANSITION
OVER TO ALL SNOW AREAWIDE BY EARLY SUNDAY EVENING. THERE REMAINS
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY ABOUT WHEN THIS TRANSITION WILL OCCUR.
RECENT MODEL RUNS SUGGEST THAT TEMPERATURES JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE
MAY BE WARM ENOUGH TO SLOW THIS TRANSITION OR EVEN PRECLUDE IT FROM
OCCURRING UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS WOULD OBVIOUSLY EAT INTO THE
FORECAST SNOW AMOUNTS…RESULTING IN A BIG BUST POTENTIAL FOR THIS
SYSTEM. AT THIS TIME…THE FORECAST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS RANGE FROM 3
TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. IF THE TRANSITION OCCURS
QUICKER…SNOW AMOUNTS WILL NEED TO BE ADJUSTED UPWARD. CONVERSELY…
IF THE TRANSITION IS SLOWER…WE WILL NEED TO BRING THESE NUMBERS
DOWN. WIND SPEEDS DURING THIS TIME ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 25
MPH …SO BLOWING SNOW IS NOT A BIG CONCERN AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER…
THESE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD STILL POSE TRAVEL ISSUES.
