Hazardous weather outlook

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE…THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION…
THE MOVEMENT OF COOLER…DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR INTO THE REGION
WILL PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH TONIGHT.

PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT TUESDAY SEP 29.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
A SEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS ON THURSDAY. AHEAD OF THIS
SYSTEM… INCREASING SOUTH WINDS WILL PULL WARM… MOIST AND MORE
UNSTABLE AIR INTO THE REGION… WHILE THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL
ALSO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS. THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FORECAST TO DEVELOP THURSDAY AS A DRYLINE AND COLD FRONT SWEEP
ACROSS THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST. AT THIS TIME… IT APPEARS THAT
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE FROM THURSDAY INTO
THURSDAY EVENING. CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA WILL LIKELY BE
IMPACTED MORE THAN WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT AREAS OF NORTH
TEXAS. 

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE NEXT WEEKEND AND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK AS AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES FROM THE
SOUTHWEST.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM
TUESDAY.

$$

CJS

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