Hazardous weather outlook, today (Monday) and next few days

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION…
COOLER…DRY AIR IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT…COMBINED WITH
RELATIVELY WARM MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL INHIBIT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF CLOUDS AND INSTABILITY.

PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT TUESDAY SEP 29.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
A SEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO PASS THROUGH
THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS FROM EARLY THURSDAY THROUGH
EARLY FRIDAY. WARM AND MOIST AIR WILL RETURN NORTHWARD FROM THE
GULF…AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL BECOME FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE
STORMS. THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY ON THURSDAY…WHEN A DRYLINE AND COLD FRONT SWEEP ACROSS
THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST. ALTHOUGH IT IS TOO EARLY TO DISCERN
THE RELATIVE LIKELIHOOD OF SPECIFIC HAZARDS…IT DOES APPEAR THAT A
SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE MAY TAKE PLACE FROM THURSDAY INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT.  CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA WILL LIKELY BE
IMPACTED MORE THAN WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT AREAS OF NORTH
TEXAS. 

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE NEXT WEEKEND AS
AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST.

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