Hazardous weather outlook

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE…THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

DISCUSSION…
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE ROTATING AROUND AN UPPER LOW CENTERED
OVER NORTHWEST KANSAS… WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. HOWEVER… COOLER TEMPERATURES… AND LESS STABLE AIR…
THAT HAS SPREAD INTO THIS AREA BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL KEEP THE
LIKELIHOOD OF SEVERE WEATHER VERY SMALL.

PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT WEDNESDAY SEP 23.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…70 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR…5 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THE STORM SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR THE COOLER WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS… BEFORE MOVING
EASTWARD LATE THIS WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. AS THE STORM BEGINS TO
MOVE OUT… THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE REGION THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES
CURRENTLY APPEAR LOW.

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