Update: Hazardous weather outlook (includes this evening and the next few days. Please don’t forget to look at Thursday)
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE…THROUGH TONIGHT…
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA THIS
EVENING. FEW ARE EXPECTED TO EXCEED SEVERE LIMITS.
DISCUSSION…
WHILE A DRYLINE MOVES INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING…AN
UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
ROCKIES. AS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MOVE INTO THE EASTERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE, THEY ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN IN THE FACE OF A LESS
FAVORABLE ATMOSPHERE. HOWEVER A FEW MAY MOVE INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA
PRODUCING HAIL AND WIND GUSTS BEFORE DISSIPATING.
PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT THURSDAY OCT 1.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…60 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR…20 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY…
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST THROUGH THE
CENTRAL PLAINS ON THURSDAY. A PACIFIC COLD FRONT… WHICH WILL
OVERTAKE THE DRYLINE BY EARLY IN THE DAY… WILL MOVE RAPIDLY TO THE
EAST. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALREADY BE OCCURRING THURSDAY
MORNING… MAINLY OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA. AS INSTABILITY
INCREASES IN THE AFTERNOON… THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BECOME
MORE INTENSE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AS IT MOVES THROUGH
EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
THERE ALSO IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
AS MOISTURE MOVES BACK INTO THE REGION AHEAD OF ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL
STORM SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL FOLLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD
FRONT THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING.
Hazardous weather outlook, today (Wednesday) and for the next few days
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT…
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
DISCUSSION…
COOLER…DRY AIR IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT…COMBINED WITH
RELATIVELY WARM MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL INHIBIT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF CLOUDS AND INSTABILITY.
PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT TUESDAY SEP 29.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY…
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
A SEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO PASS THROUGH
THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS FROM EARLY THURSDAY THROUGH
EARLY FRIDAY. WARM AND MOIST AIR WILL RETURN NORTHWARD FROM THE
GULF…AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL BECOME FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE
STORMS. THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY ON THURSDAY…WHEN A DRYLINE AND COLD FRONT SWEEP ACROSS
THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST. ALTHOUGH IT IS TOO EARLY TO DISCERN
THE RELATIVE LIKELIHOOD OF SPECIFIC HAZARDS…IT DOES APPEAR THAT A
SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE MAY TAKE PLACE FROM THURSDAY INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT. CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA WILL LIKELY BE
IMPACTED MORE THAN WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT AREAS OF NORTH
TEXAS.
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE NEXT WEEKEND AS
AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST.
Oklahoma County zone forecast (includes 50 percent chance of thunderstorms Thursday)
Tonight…Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Light and variable winds.
Tuesday…Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
Tuesday Night…Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
Wednesday…Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 10 to 20 mph.
Wednesday Night…Mostly cloudy with slight chance of thunderstorms. Warmer. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of thunderstorms 20 percent.
Thursday…Partly cloudy with chance of thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Chance of thunderstorms 50 percent.
Thursday Night…Partly cloudy with chance of thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows around 50. Chance of thunderstorms 40 percent.
Friday Through Saturday…Clear. Highs in the lower 70s. Lows in the upper 40s.
Saturday Night And Sunday…Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 70s.
Sunday Night…Mostly cloudy with slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Chance of thunderstorms 20 percent.
Monday…Partly cloudy with chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of thunderstorms 30 percent.
Hazardous weather outlook
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE…THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT…
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
DISCUSSION…
THE MOVEMENT OF COOLER…DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR INTO THE REGION
WILL PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH TONIGHT.
PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT TUESDAY SEP 29.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY…
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
A SEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS ON THURSDAY. AHEAD OF THIS
SYSTEM… INCREASING SOUTH WINDS WILL PULL WARM… MOIST AND MORE
UNSTABLE AIR INTO THE REGION… WHILE THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL
ALSO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS. THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FORECAST TO DEVELOP THURSDAY AS A DRYLINE AND COLD FRONT SWEEP
ACROSS THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST. AT THIS TIME… IT APPEARS THAT
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE FROM THURSDAY INTO
THURSDAY EVENING. CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA WILL LIKELY BE
IMPACTED MORE THAN WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT AREAS OF NORTH
TEXAS.
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE NEXT WEEKEND AND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK AS AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES FROM THE
SOUTHWEST.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM
TUESDAY.
$$
CJS
Hazardous weather outlook, today (Monday) and next few days
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT…
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
DISCUSSION…
COOLER…DRY AIR IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT…COMBINED WITH
RELATIVELY WARM MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL INHIBIT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF CLOUDS AND INSTABILITY.
PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT TUESDAY SEP 29.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY…
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
A SEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO PASS THROUGH
THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS FROM EARLY THURSDAY THROUGH
EARLY FRIDAY. WARM AND MOIST AIR WILL RETURN NORTHWARD FROM THE
GULF…AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL BECOME FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE
STORMS. THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY ON THURSDAY…WHEN A DRYLINE AND COLD FRONT SWEEP ACROSS
THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST. ALTHOUGH IT IS TOO EARLY TO DISCERN
THE RELATIVE LIKELIHOOD OF SPECIFIC HAZARDS…IT DOES APPEAR THAT A
SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE MAY TAKE PLACE FROM THURSDAY INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT. CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA WILL LIKELY BE
IMPACTED MORE THAN WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT AREAS OF NORTH
TEXAS.
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE NEXT WEEKEND AS
AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST.
Oklahoma City forecast
This Afternoon: Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. South wind around 13 mph.
Tonight: Isolated showers after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. South southwest wind between 3 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 10%.
Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Calm wind becoming north between 4 and 7 mph.
Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 61. Calm wind becoming south between 5 and 8 mph.
Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 90. South southwest wind between 8 and 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Sunday Night: Clear, with a low around 61.
Monday: Sunny, with a high near 79.
Monday Night: Clear, with a low around 56.
Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 80.
Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 64.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 82.
Wednesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63.
Thursday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82.
Short-term forecast on this Friday afternoon
NOW…
…REGIONAL WEATHER DISCUSSION…
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA THROUGH 4 PM. MOST OF THE ACTIVITY
WILL REMAIN NORTH AND WEST OF A HOBART… TO WATONGA… TO MEDFORD.
THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL…BRIEF
HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING AS THEY MOVE TOWARD THE EAST AND
NORTHEAST AT 30 TO 35 MPH.
THERE REMAINS THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
IS A SEVERE STORM DOES DEVELOP IS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
HAIL… STRONG WIND GUSTS AS WELL AS FREQUENT LIGHTNING. THE
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AFTER SUNSET WITH THE LOSS OF
HEATING.
Hazardous weather outlook
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE…THROUGH TONIGHT…
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION…
COLD MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES… ASSOCIATED WITH A STORM SYSTEM OVER
WESTERN KANSAS… WILL MOVE SOUTH AND EAST THROUGH TONIGHT. DAYTIME
HEATING… COMBINED WITH THE COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT… WILL RESULT
IN MODEST INSTABILITY ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON.
CONVERGENCE ALONG A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA
WILL ALLOW SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM THIS
AFTERNOON. A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL LIKELY OCCUR…PRODUCING SMALL
HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS. THERE WILL ALSO BE A CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS
AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WILL DECREASE QUICKLY WITH
THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.
PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SATURDAY SEP 26.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…80 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR…30 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY…
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY
AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
Short-term forecast on this Friday
.NOW…
…REGIONAL WEATHER DISCUSSION…
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS
OF NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA THROUGH 1 PM. MOST OF THE ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN
NORTH AND WEST OF A ARNETT TO WOODWARD TO ALVA LINE. THE STRONGER
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF MODERATE RAIN AND
LIGHTNING AS THEY MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 30 TO 35 MPH.
ADDITIONAL SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON AS SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WARM AND AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH THE
AREA. A FEW OF THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MARGINALLY
SEVERE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.
Oklahoma City weather forecast
This Afternoon: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 71. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 50. East southeast wind 5 to 8 mph becoming south southwest.
Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. South southwest wind between 6 and 11 mph.
Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. South wind between 7 and 10 mph.
Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 83. West southwest wind between 7 and 10 mph.
Saturday Night: Clear, with a low around 61.
Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 90.
Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 61.
Monday: Sunny, with a high near 78.
Monday Night: Clear, with a low around 55.
Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 81.
Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 57.
Wednesday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 81.
