Hazardous Weather Outlook on this Thursday and for the next few days

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN…WESTERN…
CENTRAL…AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA…AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR AGAIN TODAY. A FEW STRONG STORMS 
COULD DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND APPROACH SEVERE LEVELS.

DISCUSSION…
OVERNIGHT THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES HAVE RESULTED IN NUMEROUS OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING WHILE A WEAK FRONT WAS
ALSO LOCATED ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA. MEANWHILE… EXTENSIVE CLOUD
COVER AND COOLER AIR LEFT IN THE WAKE OF THE MORNING STORMS… WILL
RESULT IN LOWER TEMPERATURES TODAY… AND SOMEWHAT LESS INSTABILITY.
HOWEVER… DAYTIME HEATING… COMBINED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT…
WILL STILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT SUPPORT FOR THE REDEVELOPMENT OF
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. SURFACE BOUNDARIES THAT HAVE NOT WASHED OUT
DURING THE DAY COULD PROVIDE A LOW LEVEL FOCUS FOR STORM
DEVELOPMENT. ALTHOUGH THE CHANCES FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER WILL
BE LIMITED… A FEW MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS COULD OCCUR…
PRODUCING MAINLY HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALLS WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

AS THE UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT…
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH
HIGHEST CHANCES TONIGHT LIMITED TO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

PROBABILITY TABLE…
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT FRIDAY AUG 28.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA…80 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR…20 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER…
NONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY…

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK…
DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR WILL LIKELY PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORMS ON
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A SERIES OF WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCES MOVING
THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL RESULT IN MAINLY SLIGHT CHANCES FOR
THUNDERSTORMS FROM SUNDAY INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

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