Will Oklahoma give Sen. John McCain the biggest margin of victory of any state today? And, if so, what does that mean?
On a day that is supposed to be tough for Republicans nationwide, all of Oklahoma’s GOP incumbents in Congress, including Sen. Jim Inhofe, are expected to win (so is the lone Democrat, Rep. Dan Boren).
Does that mean Oklahomans believe Congress is doing a good job — or, at least, that their own reps are? There is that old saying about people believing Congress is made up of a bunch of bums — except their own rep.
Maybe we’ll learn something about how angry the Oklahoma electorate is just by the margins of victory.
Rep. John Sullivan, R-Tulsa, is the only U.S. House member from Oklahoma with an opponent spending a significant amount of money. The other four have opponents who have spent either nothing or very little.
So if the incumbents see their margins drop a lot from 2006 — when, again, there was little general election competition — you might be able to read some protest into that.
Here’s what they got in 2006:
Sullivan — 64 percent
Boren — 73 percent
Rep. Frank Lucas — 67 percent
Rep. Tom Cole — 65 percent
Rep. Mary Fallin — 60 percent
Neither of Oklahoma’s senators was up for reelection in ’06.