Analyzing the odds on national champ & Heisman
I received one of those odds-services this week that listed all kinds of things related to college football. These are mostly trash, but some of the info I found interesting. This is from Bodog Sportsbook.
Odds to win the national championship:
Alabama 3-1: These odds are way too low. Look at this way. Any team that reaches the BCS title game is 1-1, virtually. And for Bama to do that would mean victory in the SEC title game, another 1-1 proposition. So Alabama is even odds to win out in the regular season? I don’t think so.
USC 3-1: The Trojans are in great shape to win out. Unless they’re not as good as we thought, which is perfectly possible.
Penn State 7-2: A little low. More like 5-1 I’d say. The Nittanys have to go to Ohio State, where they will be underdogs.
Texas 6-1: A little short, again. The road is rough for the ‘Horns, hosting OSU and Missouri and going to Lubbock and Lawrence, plus a Big 12 title game in Kansas City.
Florida 6-1: About right, I’d say.
Texas Tech 10-1: Tech with a better chance than OU? Yes. The Red Raiders almost surely will lose in Norman — when do the Sooners lose at home? — but Tech gets OSU and Texas in Lubbock.
Oklahoma 12-1: OU’s biggest problem is not the one loss. It’s that the loss is to a team that’s ranked higher and is in the same division.
Georgia 20-1: Seems a little long. Georgia has a tough schedule, but that could catapult the Bulldogs.
Ohio State 20-1: Voters will do everything they can to keep the Buckeyes from the top two spots.
Oklahoma State 25-1: This is a sign of disrespect. Yes, all those road games, and a Bedlam home game, will make it difficult. But 25-1 seems long.
Missouri 25-1: If Mizzou wins today in Austin, this number gets cut by more than half.
Odds to win the Heisman Trophy:
Sam Bradford 5-2: Yep, that’s right. Sudden Sam still leads the pack. And if the OU running game doesn’t pick up, look for Bradford’s numbers to go even higher.
Colt McCoy 5-2: If McCoy wins today, and doesn’t stink, he becomes the easy leader.
Chase Daniel 3-1: A big game today is a must.
Knowshon Moreno 7-1: No chance. No chance at all.
Javon Ringer 9-1: I wrote about Ringer today in The Oklahoman. A big game against Ohio State puts Ringer in the mix.
Tim Tebow 10-1: Don’t count out Tebow. He’s plenty good.
Graham Harrell 12-1: No chance. Vote will split with Michael Crabtree.
Michael Crabtree 15-1: No chance. See above.
Max Hall 15-1: Bye-bye with the loss to TCU.
Daryll Clark 15-1: Penn State quarterback has no chance.
Evan Royster 15-1: Derrick Williams is Penn State’s best player.
Mark Sanchez 20-1: The country is a little tired of SC quarterbacks.
John Parker Wilson 30-1: Bama never has had a Heisman winner. No great reason to start now.
Percy Harvin 30-1: No chance.
Matthew Stafford 30-1: You know what? Don’t cout him out. Georgia is going to be playing a big game every week. Get on a roll, and Stafford is back in it.
Donald Brown 45-1: Sorry, this isn’t basketball.
Charles Scott 45-1: I don’t see it.
Jeremy Maclin 50-1: Good enough to dazzle, but no chance.
Matt Grothe 50-1: South Florida quarterback isn’t one of the nation’s 25 best quarterbacks.
Todd Reesing 50-1: Needs a huge game today at Owen Field to make any move.
Zac Robinson 50-1: If Robinson could get on TV more than once a month, it would help.
-------------Berry Tramel can be heard Monday through Friday from 4:40-5:20 p.m. on The Sports Animal radio network, including AM-640 and FM-98.1. You can e-mail him here and follow him on Twitter @BerryTramel. Visit Berry's website here.
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